Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

91 of 2220 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (67 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.46×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.43521323911241244,
      "momentum": 0.37858953163513465,
      "diversity": -0.016483516483516425
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5641749453051504
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.0601577909270217,
    "share60": 0.04119765871229176,
    "total15": 506,
    "total60": 2220,
    "momentum": 1.4602235371466141,
    "diversity": 0.7362637362637363,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 91,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 67
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 249,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954858333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992476388888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5641749453051504
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04330045706038008,
  "shareRatio": 0.6542592944847628,
  "totalAfter": 8314,
  "shareBefore": 0.06623516720604099,
  "totalBefore": 13905,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 360,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 921
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity