Will "musk" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

28 of 1219 launches in the last hour referenced "musk" (24 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 2.84×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2584149896611655,
      "momentum": 1.0421371683292935,
      "diversity": 0.1285714285714285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6021812052265937
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "musk",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.06623376623376623,
    "share60": 0.02336065573770492,
    "total15": 384,
    "total60": 1219,
    "momentum": 2.83526999316473,
    "diversity": 0.8571428571428571,
    "launches15": 25,
    "launches60": 28,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 24
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 168,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.99882,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999508333333333
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6021812052265937
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.010104018208504392,
  "shareRatio": 3.475108259033528,
  "totalAfter": 47011,
  "shareBefore": 0.0029003860372965136,
  "totalBefore": 48959,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 475,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 142
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity