Will "paid" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 30% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 1232 launches in the last hour referenced "paid" (6 distinct creators, rank #101). Last 15m momentum 0.27×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": -1.304577503447235,
      "diversity": 0.1285714285714285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.29676143509580377
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paid",
    "rank60": 101,
    "share15": 0.0016501650165016502,
    "share60": 0.006082725060827251,
    "total15": 302,
    "total60": 1232,
    "momentum": 0.27128712871287125,
    "diversity": 0.8571428571428571,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 163,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968825,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998701041666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.29676143509580377
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006877169076159857,
  "shareRatio": 1.061330012593597,
  "totalAfter": 46967,
  "shareBefore": 0.006479569936430718,
  "totalBefore": 48923,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 323,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 317
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity