Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 38% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

42 of 1315 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (38 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.49×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3192347558773902,
      "momentum": -0.7059482888380433,
      "diversity": 0.18571428571428572
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.37730587073694843
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.015942028985507246,
    "share60": 0.03229483282674772,
    "total15": 344,
    "total60": 1315,
    "momentum": 0.4936402387041773,
    "diversity": 0.9047619047619048,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 42,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 38
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 202,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932422222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9932422222222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.37730587073694843
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04051446945337621,
  "shareRatio": 1.269423862089823,
  "totalAfter": 1555,
  "shareBefore": 0.03179409538228615,
  "totalBefore": 1321,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 63,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 42
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity