Will "poor" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 20% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 1559 launches in the last hour referenced "poor" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.18×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": -1.7375755111664641,
      "diversity": -0.7181818181818181
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1999913473600907
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "poor",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.003778337531486146,
    "share60": 0.021474358974358974,
    "total15": 396,
    "total60": 1559,
    "momentum": 0.1759464641527877,
    "diversity": 0.15151515151515152,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 223,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982697222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999279050925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1999913473600907
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000235631814579183,
  "shareRatio": 0.23058557841781216,
  "totalAfter": 46683,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010581579911277522,
  "totalBefore": 49142,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 11,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 52
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity