Will "golden" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 49% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

19 of 1547 launches in the last hour referenced "golden" (8 distinct creators, rank #22). Last 15m momentum 1.75×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.200250160009851,
      "momentum": 0.5611274177884579,
      "diversity": -0.39473684210526316
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4891638257745959
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "golden",
    "rank60": 22,
    "share15": 0.02207792207792208,
    "share60": 0.012596899224806201,
    "total15": 384,
    "total60": 1547,
    "momentum": 1.7526473526473527,
    "diversity": 0.42105263157894735,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 19,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 213,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9943466666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990577777777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4891638257745959
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007361963190184049,
  "shareRatio": 0.985179213040049,
  "totalAfter": 11410,
  "shareBefore": 0.0074573009381765695,
  "totalBefore": 8314,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 84,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 62
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity