Will "ghost" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

69 of 1605 launches in the last hour referenced "ghost" (40 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.19×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3937002888244739,
      "momentum": 0.17569541188607388,
      "diversity": -0.20434782608695648
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5162562370756738
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "ghost",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.051587301587301584,
    "share60": 0.04327521793275218,
    "total15": 377,
    "total60": 1605,
    "momentum": 1.1920749114993718,
    "diversity": 0.5797101449275363,
    "launches15": 19,
    "launches60": 69,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 40
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 258,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957505555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9957505555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5162562370756738
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003132832080200501,
  "shareRatio": 0.07973133077758206,
  "totalAfter": 1596,
  "shareBefore": 0.04291044776119403,
  "totalBefore": 1608,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 69
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity