Will "character" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

37 of 1492 launches in the last hour referenced "character" (10 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 2.05×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3002220000315186,
      "momentum": 0.71817474542275,
      "diversity": -0.5756756756756757
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4803502591161788
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "character",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.05150753768844221,
    "share60": 0.025117213663764234,
    "total15": 397,
    "total60": 1492,
    "momentum": 2.050686767169179,
    "diversity": 0.2702702702702703,
    "launches15": 20,
    "launches60": 37,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 194,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921055555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996710648148148
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4803502591161788
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004842615012106538,
  "shareRatio": 1.0508020809813916,
  "totalAfter": 46256,
  "shareBefore": 0.004608667529107374,
  "totalBefore": 49472,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 224,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 228
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity