Will "represents" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 34% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

30 of 1668 launches in the last hour referenced "represents" (9 distinct creators, rank #16). Last 15m momentum 0.76×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2687639203842082,
      "momentum": -0.27188443261422757,
      "diversity": -0.54
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3362201569171392
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "represents",
    "rank60": 16,
    "share15": 0.013924050632911392,
    "share60": 0.018274415817855005,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1668,
    "momentum": 0.7619423116829217,
    "diversity": 0.3,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 30,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 246,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935311111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989218518518519
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3362201569171392
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0020761741122565865,
  "shareRatio": 0.17034691365640772,
  "totalAfter": 13968,
  "shareBefore": 0.012341446691806651,
  "totalBefore": 8751,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 108
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity