Will "green" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

27 of 1668 launches in the last hour referenced "green" (7 distinct creators, rank #18). Last 15m momentum 3.15×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2529598430355343,
      "momentum": 1.14733304023255,
      "diversity": -0.5888888888888889
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5264009226077079
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "green",
    "rank60": 18,
    "share15": 0.05189873417721519,
    "share60": 0.0164769322947873,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1668,
    "momentum": 3.1497813578826235,
    "diversity": 0.25925925925925924,
    "launches15": 20,
    "launches60": 27,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 246,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935311111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999730462962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5264009226077079
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0064350623940171315,
  "shareRatio": 0.8588648541588022,
  "totalAfter": 45998,
  "shareBefore": 0.0074950370700482116,
  "totalBefore": 49366,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 296,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 370
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity