Will "born" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1680 launches in the last hour referenced "born" (5 distinct creators, rank #198). Last 15m momentum 1.79×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.5819027598157209,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5786738862409858
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "born",
    "rank60": 198,
    "share15": 0.00585480093676815,
    "share60": 0.003271861986912552,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1680,
    "momentum": 1.7894400681285927,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 212,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988261111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998043518518519
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5786738862409858
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00514675198219502,
  "shareRatio": 0.657604001895988,
  "totalAfter": 14378,
  "shareBefore": 0.007823851570358779,
  "totalBefore": 8947,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 74,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 70
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity