Will "across" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 38% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

18 of 1680 launches in the last hour referenced "across" (6 distinct creators, rank #32). Last 15m momentum 0.96×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.19214007681930967,
      "momentum": -0.04333321512801402,
      "diversity": -0.5
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.38329246903376446
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "across",
    "rank60": 32,
    "share15": 0.01053864168618267,
    "share60": 0.011005353955978583,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1680,
    "momentum": 0.9575922526742199,
    "diversity": 0.3333333333333333,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 18,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 212,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988261111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999951087962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.38329246903376446
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003131455909535718,
  "shareRatio": 0.8728934648205854,
  "totalAfter": 45985,
  "shareBefore": 0.0035897539903056363,
  "totalBefore": 49307,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 144,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 177
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity