Will "account" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 5% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

97 of 1776 launches in the last hour referenced "account" (4 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.02×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44479095991039236,
      "momentum": -3.9515250521041723,
      "diversity": -0.8505154639175257
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.05
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "account",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.0010548523206751054,
    "share60": 0.05486775464265616,
    "total15": 473,
    "total60": 1776,
    "momentum": 0.019225359731688842,
    "diversity": 0.041237113402061855,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 97,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 221,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9927086111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987847685185185
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.05
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007431277127449691,
  "shareRatio": 0.7090113318460634,
  "totalAfter": 15206,
  "shareBefore": 0.010475591870940708,
  "totalBefore": 9546,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 113,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 100
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity