Will "paper" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1776 launches in the last hour referenced "paper" (8 distinct creators, rank #146). Last 15m momentum 2.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 0.8861564352017295,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5813526171666101
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paper",
    "rank60": 146,
    "share15": 0.011603375527426161,
    "share60": 0.004783342712436691,
    "total15": 473,
    "total60": 1776,
    "momentum": 2.4257880367336813,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 221,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9927086111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996961921296297
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5813526171666101
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0026724496725153883,
  "shareRatio": 0.8247874680663061,
  "totalAfter": 45651,
  "shareBefore": 0.003243243243243243,
  "totalBefore": 49025,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 122,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 159
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity