Will "tschuna" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

95 of 2341 launches in the last hour referenced "tschuna" (63 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.02×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.441665846874966,
      "momentum": 0.02158046632303237,
      "diversity": -0.10421052631578953
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5147546616941999
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tschuna",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.041666666666666664,
    "share60": 0.040777113578138346,
    "total15": 659,
    "total60": 2341,
    "momentum": 1.0218150087260034,
    "diversity": 0.6631578947368421,
    "launches15": 27,
    "launches60": 95,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 63
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 334,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957577777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9957577777777777
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5147546616941999
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.02297410192147034,
  "shareRatio": 0.569504530599307,
  "totalAfter": 2394,
  "shareBefore": 0.04049445865302643,
  "totalBefore": 2346,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 55,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 95
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity