Will "inu" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

184 of 2388 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (102 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.41×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.5408246767762328,
      "momentum": -0.8971506195692798,
      "diversity": -0.23478260869565215
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3287650228038393
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "inu",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.03148854961832061,
    "share60": 0.07722896609460025,
    "total15": 523,
    "total60": 2388,
    "momentum": 0.4077297834047042,
    "diversity": 0.5543478260869565,
    "launches15": 16,
    "launches60": 184,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 102
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 343,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988219444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998036574074074
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3287650228038393
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.026303854875283448,
  "shareRatio": 0.8067207138894349,
  "totalAfter": 15435,
  "shareBefore": 0.03260297984224365,
  "totalBefore": 11410,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 406,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 372
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity