Will "energy" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 2301 launches in the last hour referenced "energy" (21 distinct creators, rank #41). Last 15m momentum 1.84×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": 0.6120071288257601,
      "diversity": 0.10799999999999996
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6595799317981472
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "energy",
    "rank60": 41,
    "share15": 0.020428015564202335,
    "share60": 0.011077324066029539,
    "total15": 513,
    "total60": 2301,
    "momentum": 1.8441290913252462,
    "diversity": 0.84,
    "launches15": 10,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 336,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932580555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9932580555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6595799317981472
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004520166898470098,
  "shareRatio": 0.4276513525118077,
  "totalAfter": 2876,
  "shareBefore": 0.01076194575979337,
  "totalBefore": 2323,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 25
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity