Will "justice" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 50% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 2262 launches in the last hour referenced "justice" (26 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 1.48×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 0.39142363124705615,
      "diversity": -0.11999999999999997
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4979174948544589
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "justice",
    "rank60": 12,
    "share15": 0.026470588235294117,
    "share60": 0.017896597437030492,
    "total15": 509,
    "total60": 2262,
    "momentum": 1.4790849673202613,
    "diversity": 0.65,
    "launches15": 13,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 346,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985283333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999386805555556
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4979174948544589
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004247000134825401,
  "shareRatio": 0.892286348220091,
  "totalAfter": 44502,
  "shareBefore": 0.0047620025041564895,
  "totalBefore": 48719,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 189,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 232
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity