Will "ponzi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 2864 launches in the last hour referenced "ponzi" (34 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 2.12×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.7515862279063091,
      "diversity": 0.04883720930232553
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6192182543341134
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "ponzi",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.0321939586645469,
    "share60": 0.015183246073298429,
    "total15": 1257,
    "total60": 2864,
    "momentum": 2.1203607258373993,
    "diversity": 0.7906976744186046,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965619444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994269907407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6192182543341134
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0026925148088314485,
  "shareRatio": 0.7382745813115337,
  "totalAfter": 14856,
  "shareBefore": 0.0036553524804177544,
  "totalBefore": 13405,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 40,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity