Will "read" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

78 of 3105 launches in the last hour referenced "read" (27 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 1.14×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41209063713832367,
      "momentum": 0.13131971385012578,
      "diversity": -0.4846153846153846
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4399894105413122
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "read",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.028820375335120642,
    "share60": 0.02527366387636832,
    "total15": 745,
    "total60": 3105,
    "momentum": 1.140332303068595,
    "diversity": 0.34615384615384615,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 78,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 361,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.993515,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.993515
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4399894105413122
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004658385093167702,
  "shareRatio": 0.19346793906903054,
  "totalAfter": 2576,
  "shareBefore": 0.024920127795527155,
  "totalBefore": 3130,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 78
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity