Prediction ledger
4,440 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4040 | $LIFE | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $LIFE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,091, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4039 | $LIFE | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $LIFE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,242, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4038 | $d | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $d would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,935, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4037 | $d | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $d would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,935, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4036 | "beaver" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "beaver" (6 distinct creators, rank #244). Last 15m momentum 3.04×. |
| #4035 | "tumor" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "tumor" (23 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4034 | "timmy" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 46 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "timmy" (24 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4033 | "worth" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 94 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "worth" (50 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.39×. |
| #4032 | "presale" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "presale" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.03% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #4031 | "tumor" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tumor" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4030 | "timmy" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "timmy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4029 | "worth" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "worth" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 0.08% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #4028 | "protocol" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "protocol" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.05% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #4027 | "timmy" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "timmy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.96% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4026 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.91% → 4.59% (+17%). CORRECT. |
| #4025 | "worth" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "worth" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.00% → 0.10% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #4024 | $ASI | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $ASI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4023 | $ASI | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $ASI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4022 | $UPLIFT | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $UPLIFT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4021 | $UPLIFT | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $UPLIFT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4020 | "plans" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "plans" (4 distinct creators, rank #358). Last 15m momentum 0.40×. |
| #4019 | "team" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "team" (24 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.93×. |
| #4018 | "sonny" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "sonny" (27 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.32×. |
| #4017 | "certified" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 89 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "certified" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.12×. |
| #4016 | "affiliated" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "affiliated" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.39% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #4015 | "team" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "team" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.50% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #4014 | "sonny" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "sonny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.07% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #4013 | "certified" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "certified" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.01% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4012 | "mytechceoo" | narrative · 1H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "mytechceoo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4011 | "sonny" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "sonny" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 0.42% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #4010 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.74% → 1.98% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #4009 | "certified" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "certified" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.76% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4008 | $BABYDOPE | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BABYDOPE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,041, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4007 | $BABYDOPE | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BABYDOPE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,355, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #4006 | $ARGON | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $ARGON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,045, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4005 | $ARGON | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $ARGON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,045, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4004 | "lmao" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 9 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "lmao" (5 distinct creators, rank #161). Last 15m momentum 0.70×. |
| #4003 | "administration" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 84 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "administration" (57 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.13×. |
| #4002 | "mba" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 85 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "mba" (58 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.13×. |
| #4001 | "shift" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 181 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "shift" (3 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.11×. |
| #4000 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.53% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #3999 | "mba" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "mba" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3998 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 0.31% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3997 | "shift" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "shift" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.75% → 0.08% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3996 | "worms" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "worms" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3995 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 55% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.74% → 3.91% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #3994 | "bot" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "bot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 0.51% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3993 | "shift" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "shift" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.29% → 0.26% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3992 | $DIKLESS | token · 6H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 4% that $DIKLESS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3991 | $DIKLESS | token · 1H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 4% that $DIKLESS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3990 | $Condom | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Condom would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $373, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3989 | $Condom | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Condom would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $372, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3988 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 11 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "born" (6 distinct creators, rank #98). Last 15m momentum 2.19×. |
| #3987 | "master" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 91 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "master" (61 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.28×. |
| #3986 | "night" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 92 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "night" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.29×. |
| #3985 | "promises" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 111 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "promises" (15 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.00×. |
| #3984 | "linked" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "linked" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3983 | "master" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "master" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.10% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #3982 | "night" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "night" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 0.76% (-24%). INCORRECT. |
| #3981 | "promises" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "promises" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.61% → 1.31% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #3980 | "doginhood" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "doginhood" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.13% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #3979 | "master" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "master" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.93% → 0.34% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #3978 | "night" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 61% that "night" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.98% → 3.75% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3977 | "promises" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "promises" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 4.34% (-9%). INCORRECT. |
| #3976 | $replydog | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $replydog would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3975 | $replydog | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $replydog would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3974 | $replyinu | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $replyinu would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3973 | $replyinu | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $replyinu would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3972 | "rogue" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "rogue" (8 distinct creators, rank #111). Last 15m momentum 0.17×. |
| #3971 | "replyinu" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "replyinu" (29 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.86×. |
| #3970 | "callinu" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 78 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "callinu" (15 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 2.97×. |
| #3969 | "record" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 111 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "record" (41 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.44×. |
| #3968 | "sean" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "sean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.05% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #3967 | "replyinu" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "replyinu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.05% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #3966 | "callinu" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "callinu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.84% → 0.09% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #3965 | "record" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "record" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.32% → 0.44% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #3964 | "acc" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "acc" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.08% (-70%). CORRECT. |
| #3963 | "replyinu" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "replyinu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.84% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3962 | "callinu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "callinu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.26% → 0.40% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #3961 | "record" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "record" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.22% → 1.93% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #3960 | $BAGEM | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $BAGEM would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,903, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3959 | $BAGEM | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $BAGEM would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,903, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3958 | $ILON | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $ILON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $144, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3957 | $ILON | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $ILON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $144, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3956 | "crypto" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crypto" (16 distinct creators, rank #28). Last 15m momentum 1.26×. |
| #3955 | "reddit" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 24 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "reddit" (4 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.08×. |
| #3954 | "profile" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "profile" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×. |
| #3953 | "crime" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crime" (34 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.52×. |
| #3952 | "chonky" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "chonky" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #3951 | "profile" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "profile" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3950 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 1.02% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3949 | "crime" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "crime" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.16% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #3948 | "inspired" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "inspired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.43% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #3947 | "crime" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "crime" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.52% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #3946 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.85% → 1.56% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #3945 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 1.34% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #3944 | $SCAM | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SCAM would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $114, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3943 | $SCAM | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SCAM would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $114, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3942 | $Bread | token · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $Bread would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,036, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3941 | $Bread | token · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $Bread would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,036, no recent trades). CORRECT. |