Prediction ledger
4,392 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4092 | "squeeze" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "squeeze" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.26% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #4091 | "women" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "women" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.18% → 0.09% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #4090 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.33% → 0.43% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #4089 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.33% → 0.17% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #4088 | $COARD | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $COARD would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,915, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4087 | $COARD | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $COARD would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,915, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4086 | $USEFUL | token · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that $USEFUL would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,019, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4085 | $USEFUL | token · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that $USEFUL would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,019, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4084 | "pool" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "pool" (5 distinct creators, rank #319). Last 15m momentum 1.21×. |
| #4083 | "wif" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "wif" (30 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.26×. |
| #4082 | "finance" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "finance" (30 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 1.33×. |
| #4081 | "limitless" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 72 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "limitless" (71 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.09×. |
| #4080 | "working" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "working" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #4079 | "limitless" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "limitless" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #4078 | "stock" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "stock" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.12% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #4077 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.26% → 0.94% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #4076 | "wirelyss" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "wirelyss" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4075 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 81% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 81% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.52% → 0.65% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #4074 | "etf" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "etf" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.80% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4073 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 30% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.80% → 3.59% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #4072 | $STOLY | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $STOLY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,918, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4071 | $STOLY | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $STOLY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,918, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4070 | $EVERYONE | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $EVERYONE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,075, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4069 | $EVERYONE | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $EVERYONE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,075, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4068 | "face" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "face" (8 distinct creators, rank #133). Last 15m momentum 1.23×. |
| #4067 | "stock" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "stock" (64 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.75×. |
| #4066 | "etf" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 72 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "etf" (71 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.70×. |
| #4065 | "otf" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 92 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "otf" (84 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.69×. |
| #4064 | "reverso" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "reverso" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4063 | "etf" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "etf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.27% (-57%). INCORRECT. |
| #4062 | "pair" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "pair" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.26% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #4061 | "otf" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "otf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.13% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #4060 | "keep" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "keep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.05% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #4059 | "pair" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "pair" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.70% → 0.62% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #4058 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.15% → 0.90% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #4057 | "otf" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "otf" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.59% → 0.76% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #4056 | $Cracker | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $Cracker would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,926, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4055 | $Cracker | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $Cracker would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,926, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4054 | $1mil | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $1mil would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $259, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4053 | $1mil | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $1mil would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $259, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4052 | "self" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2110 launches in the last hour referenced "self" (4 distinct creators, rank #339). Last 15m momentum 0.42×. |
| #4051 | "attempt" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:00 UTC | OPEN | 37 of 2110 launches in the last hour referenced "attempt" (22 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.06×. |
| #4050 | "slopbrain" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:00 UTC | OPEN | 38 of 2110 launches in the last hour referenced "slopbrain" (4 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.06×. |
| #4049 | "game" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 2110 launches in the last hour referenced "game" (19 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.50×. |
| #4048 | "artificial" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "artificial" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.40% (+66%). INCORRECT. |
| #4047 | "attempt" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "attempt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4046 | "slopbrain" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "slopbrain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4045 | "game" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 31% that "game" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.64% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #4044 | "weeniecoin" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "weeniecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 0.05% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #4043 | "attempt" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "attempt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.75% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4042 | "slopbrain" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "slopbrain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4041 | "game" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "game" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.93% → 0.59% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #4040 | $LIFE | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $LIFE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,091, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4039 | $LIFE | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $LIFE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,242, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4038 | $d | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $d would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,935, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4037 | $d | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $d would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,935, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4036 | "beaver" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "beaver" (6 distinct creators, rank #244). Last 15m momentum 3.04×. |
| #4035 | "tumor" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "tumor" (23 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4034 | "timmy" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 46 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "timmy" (24 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4033 | "worth" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:30 UTC | OPEN | 94 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "worth" (50 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.39×. |
| #4032 | "presale" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "presale" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.03% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #4031 | "tumor" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tumor" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4030 | "timmy" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "timmy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4029 | "worth" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "worth" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 0.08% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #4028 | "protocol" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "protocol" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.05% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #4027 | "timmy" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "timmy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.96% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4026 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.91% → 4.59% (+17%). CORRECT. |
| #4025 | "worth" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "worth" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.00% → 0.10% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #4024 | $ASI | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $ASI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4023 | $ASI | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $ASI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4022 | $UPLIFT | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $UPLIFT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4021 | $UPLIFT | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $UPLIFT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4020 | "plans" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "plans" (4 distinct creators, rank #358). Last 15m momentum 0.40×. |
| #4019 | "team" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "team" (24 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.93×. |
| #4018 | "sonny" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "sonny" (27 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.32×. |
| #4017 | "certified" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC | OPEN | 89 of 2359 launches in the last hour referenced "certified" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.12×. |
| #4016 | "affiliated" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "affiliated" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.39% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #4015 | "team" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "team" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.50% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #4014 | "sonny" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "sonny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.07% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #4013 | "certified" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "certified" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.01% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4012 | "mytechceoo" | narrative · 1H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "mytechceoo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4011 | "sonny" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "sonny" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 0.42% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #4010 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.74% → 1.98% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #4009 | "certified" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "certified" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.76% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4008 | $BABYDOPE | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BABYDOPE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,041, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4007 | $BABYDOPE | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BABYDOPE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,355, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #4006 | $ARGON | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $ARGON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,045, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4005 | $ARGON | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $ARGON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,045, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4004 | "lmao" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 9 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "lmao" (5 distinct creators, rank #161). Last 15m momentum 0.70×. |
| #4003 | "administration" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 84 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "administration" (57 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.13×. |
| #4002 | "mba" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 85 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "mba" (58 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.13×. |
| #4001 | "shift" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:30 UTC | OPEN | 181 of 2480 launches in the last hour referenced "shift" (3 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.11×. |
| #4000 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.53% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #3999 | "mba" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "mba" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3998 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 0.31% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3997 | "shift" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "shift" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.75% → 0.08% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3996 | "worms" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "worms" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3995 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 55% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.74% → 3.91% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #3994 | "bot" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "bot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 0.51% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3993 | "shift" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "shift" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.29% → 0.26% (-96%). CORRECT. |