Prediction ledger
4,488 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3988 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 11 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "born" (6 distinct creators, rank #98). Last 15m momentum 2.19×. |
| #3987 | "master" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 91 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "master" (61 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.28×. |
| #3986 | "night" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 92 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "night" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.29×. |
| #3985 | "promises" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC | OPEN | 111 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "promises" (15 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.00×. |
| #3984 | "linked" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "linked" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3983 | "master" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "master" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.10% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #3982 | "night" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "night" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 0.76% (-24%). INCORRECT. |
| #3981 | "promises" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "promises" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.61% → 1.31% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #3980 | "doginhood" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "doginhood" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.13% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #3979 | "master" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "master" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.93% → 0.34% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #3978 | "night" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 61% that "night" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.98% → 3.75% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3977 | "promises" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "promises" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 4.34% (-9%). INCORRECT. |
| #3976 | $replydog | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $replydog would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3975 | $replydog | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $replydog would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,928, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3974 | $replyinu | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $replyinu would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3973 | $replyinu | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $replyinu would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,917, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3972 | "rogue" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "rogue" (8 distinct creators, rank #111). Last 15m momentum 0.17×. |
| #3971 | "replyinu" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "replyinu" (29 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.86×. |
| #3970 | "callinu" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 78 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "callinu" (15 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 2.97×. |
| #3969 | "record" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | OPEN | 111 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "record" (41 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.44×. |
| #3968 | "sean" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "sean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.05% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #3967 | "replyinu" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "replyinu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.05% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #3966 | "callinu" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "callinu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.84% → 0.09% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #3965 | "record" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "record" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.32% → 0.44% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #3964 | "acc" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "acc" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.08% (-70%). CORRECT. |
| #3963 | "replyinu" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "replyinu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.84% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3962 | "callinu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "callinu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.26% → 0.40% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #3961 | "record" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "record" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.22% → 1.93% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #3960 | $BAGEM | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $BAGEM would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,903, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3959 | $BAGEM | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $BAGEM would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,903, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3958 | $ILON | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $ILON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $144, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3957 | $ILON | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $ILON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $144, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3956 | "crypto" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crypto" (16 distinct creators, rank #28). Last 15m momentum 1.26×. |
| #3955 | "reddit" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 24 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "reddit" (4 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.08×. |
| #3954 | "profile" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "profile" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×. |
| #3953 | "crime" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crime" (34 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.52×. |
| #3952 | "chonky" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "chonky" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #3951 | "profile" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "profile" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3950 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 1.02% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3949 | "crime" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "crime" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.16% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #3948 | "inspired" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "inspired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.43% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #3947 | "crime" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "crime" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.52% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #3946 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.85% → 1.56% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #3945 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 1.34% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #3944 | $SCAM | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SCAM would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $114, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3943 | $SCAM | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SCAM would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $114, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3942 | $Bread | token · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $Bread would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,036, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3941 | $Bread | token · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $Bread would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,036, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3940 | "tiktok" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "tiktok" (6 distinct creators, rank #177). Last 15m momentum 2.23×. |
| #3939 | "casino" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:30 UTC | OPEN | 24 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "casino" (14 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.59×. |
| #3938 | "tail" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:30 UTC | OPEN | 30 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "tail" (23 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.34×. |
| #3937 | "unconditional" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "unconditional" (16 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.06×. |
| #3936 | "crimecat" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "crimecat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3935 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 5.49% → 4.01% (-27%). INCORRECT. |
| #3934 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.89% → 2.11% (+12%). CORRECT. |
| #3933 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 2.29% (-29%). INCORRECT. |
| #3932 | "caught" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "caught" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3931 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.03% → 4.42% (+46%). CORRECT. |
| #3930 | "jackie" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "jackie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.57% → 0.22% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3929 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.16% → 3.71% (-11%). INCORRECT. |
| #3928 | $MUSKI | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $MUSKI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,965, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3927 | $MUSKI | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $MUSKI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,965, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3926 | $Kraken Bank | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Kraken Bank would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,962, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3925 | $Kraken Bank | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Kraken Bank would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,962, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3924 | "traders" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "traders" (5 distinct creators, rank #245). Last 15m momentum 1.68×. |
| #3923 | "usdc" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 35 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "usdc" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.47×. |
| #3922 | "look" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 35 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "look" (18 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.16×. |
| #3921 | "support" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 38 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "support" (21 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.34×. |
| #3920 | "goat" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 28% that "goat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.53% (+57%). INCORRECT. |
| #3919 | "usdc" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "usdc" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.13% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #3918 | "look" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "look" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.19% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #3917 | "support" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "support" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.07% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3916 | "share" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "share" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.25% (-15%). INCORRECT. |
| #3915 | "support" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "support" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.21% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3914 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 63% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.56% → 3.65% (+43%). CORRECT. |
| #3913 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.24% → 2.85% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #3912 | $POOKIE | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $POOKIE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,929, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3911 | $POOKIE | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $POOKIE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,929, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3910 | $POOKIE | token · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that $POOKIE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,949, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3909 | $POOKIE | token · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that $POOKIE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,949, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3908 | "fear" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 7 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "fear" (6 distinct creators, rank #110). Last 15m momentum 0.29×. |
| #3907 | "pookie" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 127 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "pookie" (66 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.87×. |
| #3906 | "albino" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 133 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "albino" (68 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.53×. |
| #3905 | "porcupine" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 134 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "porcupine" (69 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.56×. |
| #3904 | "actual" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "actual" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.06% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3903 | "pookie" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pookie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.02% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3902 | "albino" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "albino" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.70% → 0.13% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3901 | "porcupine" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "porcupine" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.73% → 0.11% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #3900 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.65% (+30%). CORRECT. |
| #3899 | "pookie" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "pookie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.97% → 0.06% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3898 | "albino" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "albino" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.34% → 0.48% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #3897 | "porcupine" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "porcupine" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.41% → 0.36% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3896 | $BOB | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOB would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,963, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3895 | $BOB | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOB would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,963, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3894 | $PENIS | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $PENIS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3893 | $PENIS | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $PENIS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3892 | "steps" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "steps" (4 distinct creators, rank #170). Last 15m momentum 0.98×. |
| #3891 | "seals" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "seals" (10 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.42×. |
| #3890 | "market" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 26 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (20 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3889 | "jeremiah" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "jeremiah" (8 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.64×. |