Prediction ledger
4,392 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3924 | "traders" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "traders" (5 distinct creators, rank #245). Last 15m momentum 1.68×. |
| #3923 | "usdc" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 35 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "usdc" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.47×. |
| #3922 | "look" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 35 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "look" (18 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.16×. |
| #3921 | "support" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC | OPEN | 38 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "support" (21 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.34×. |
| #3908 | "fear" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 7 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "fear" (6 distinct creators, rank #110). Last 15m momentum 0.29×. |
| #3907 | "pookie" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 127 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "pookie" (66 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.87×. |
| #3906 | "albino" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 133 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "albino" (68 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.53×. |
| #3905 | "porcupine" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:30 UTC | OPEN | 134 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "porcupine" (69 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.56×. |
| #3892 | "steps" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "steps" (4 distinct creators, rank #170). Last 15m momentum 0.98×. |
| #3891 | "seals" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "seals" (10 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.42×. |
| #3890 | "market" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 26 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (20 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3889 | "jeremiah" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "jeremiah" (8 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.64×. |
| #3876 | "king" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 10 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "king" (5 distinct creators, rank #65). Last 15m momentum 1.21×. |
| #3875 | "larp" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 28 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "larp" (15 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 3.62×. |
| #3874 | "fartcrack" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 28 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "fartcrack" (15 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 2.86×. |
| #3873 | "jackie" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 46 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "jackie" (27 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.62×. |
| #3860 | "robe" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 20 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "robe" (4 distinct creators, rank #25). Last 15m momentum 0.30×. |
| #3859 | "ecogpt" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "ecogpt" (15 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3858 | "neymar" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 26 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "neymar" (18 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.90×. |
| #3857 | "luna" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 50 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "luna" (12 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #3844 | "lady" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "lady" (3 distinct creators, rank #139). Last 15m momentum 3.01×. |
| #3843 | "cartoon" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 23 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "cartoon" (8 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 1.94×. |
| #3842 | "diff" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "diff" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #3841 | "stockguy" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "stockguy" (27 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 4.35×. |
| #3828 | "eyes" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "eyes" (4 distinct creators, rank #171). Last 15m momentum 2.30×. |
| #3827 | "github" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 42 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "github" (24 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.53×. |
| #3826 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 53 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (35 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.05×. |
| #3825 | "marsx" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 67 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "marsx" (37 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.61×. |
| #3812 | "concept" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "concept" (3 distinct creators, rank #88). Last 15m momentum 0.87×. |
| #3811 | "dotatate" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 19 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "dotatate" (11 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 2.98×. |
| #3810 | "anthropic" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "anthropic" (3 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.75×. |
| #3809 | "actinium" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "actinium" (12 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 2.92×. |
| #3796 | "signal" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1068 launches in the last hour referenced "signal" (5 distinct creators, rank #138). Last 15m momentum 0.28×. |
| #3795 | "confidence" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:00 UTC | OPEN | 12 of 1068 launches in the last hour referenced "confidence" (4 distinct creators, rank #19). Last 15m momentum 1.34×. |
| #3794 | "mony" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:00 UTC | OPEN | 21 of 1068 launches in the last hour referenced "mony" (5 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.49×. |
| #3793 | "mechahitler" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:00 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 1068 launches in the last hour referenced "mechahitler" (18 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.06×. |
| #3780 | "wape" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 991 launches in the last hour referenced "wape" (4 distinct creators, rank #49). Last 15m momentum 1.92×. |
| #3779 | "pad" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:30 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 991 launches in the last hour referenced "pad" (9 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.99×. |
| #3778 | "trash" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:30 UTC | OPEN | 17 of 991 launches in the last hour referenced "trash" (17 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.93×. |
| #3777 | "fund" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:30 UTC | OPEN | 17 of 991 launches in the last hour referenced "fund" (16 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.93×. |
| #3764 | "viral" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 997 launches in the last hour referenced "viral" (8 distinct creators, rank #50). Last 15m momentum 1.49×. |
| #3763 | "clawpump" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 997 launches in the last hour referenced "clawpump" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.05×. |
| #3762 | "tech" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 997 launches in the last hour referenced "tech" (25 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.21×. |
| #3761 | "buddy" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC | OPEN | 35 of 997 launches in the last hour referenced "buddy" (33 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.48×. |
| #3748 | "claudia" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "claudia" (7 distinct creators, rank #40). Last 15m momentum 0.85×. |
| #3747 | "ride" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC | OPEN | 14 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "ride" (4 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.83×. |
| #3746 | "wallet" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC | OPEN | 15 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "wallet" (12 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.70×. |
| #3745 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (16 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.31×. |
| #3732 | "wealth" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC | OPEN | 7 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "wealth" (5 distinct creators, rank #81). Last 15m momentum 1.26×. |
| #3731 | "wrong" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "wrong" (23 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #3730 | "bread" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "bread" (23 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #3729 | "wagmi" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC | OPEN | 69 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "wagmi" (5 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 2.74×. |
| #3716 | "bought" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "bought" (4 distinct creators, rank #40). Last 15m momentum 3.54×. |
| #3715 | "means" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "means" (23 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 4.01×. |
| #3714 | "20k" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "20k" (23 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.92×. |
| #3713 | "hacchan" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC | OPEN | 55 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "hacchan" (32 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 4.01×. |
| #3700 | "vibes" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1189 launches in the last hour referenced "vibes" (5 distinct creators, rank #141). Last 15m momentum 1.03×. |
| #3699 | "trench" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC | OPEN | 18 of 1189 launches in the last hour referenced "trench" (4 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.31×. |
| #3698 | "bot" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1189 launches in the last hour referenced "bot" (14 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.42×. |
| #3697 | "slopcore" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1189 launches in the last hour referenced "slopcore" (11 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.97×. |
| #3684 | "baby" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 7 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "baby" (5 distinct creators, rank #72). Last 15m momentum 1.99×. |
| #3683 | "moneyy" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 19 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "moneyy" (5 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 2.08×. |
| #3682 | "increase" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 19 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "increase" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 2.08×. |
| #3681 | "saindra" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 21 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "saindra" (9 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.50×. |
| #3668 | "right" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1230 launches in the last hour referenced "right" (5 distinct creators, rank #155). Last 15m momentum 1.76×. |
| #3667 | "tribute" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 1230 launches in the last hour referenced "tribute" (7 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 0.12×. |
| #3666 | "inspired" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 17 of 1230 launches in the last hour referenced "inspired" (11 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.55×. |
| #3665 | "robinhood" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1230 launches in the last hour referenced "robinhood" (7 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.77×. |
| #3652 | "golden" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1197 launches in the last hour referenced "golden" (5 distinct creators, rank #81). Last 15m momentum 2.25×. |
| #3651 | "gemini" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 15 of 1197 launches in the last hour referenced "gemini" (13 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 2.02×. |
| #3650 | "hien" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1197 launches in the last hour referenced "hien" (8 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 1.23×. |
| #3649 | "claim" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 28 of 1197 launches in the last hour referenced "claim" (5 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.22×. |
| #3636 | "discovering" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 11 of 1477 launches in the last hour referenced "discovering" (7 distinct creators, rank #43). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3635 | "dark" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 1477 launches in the last hour referenced "dark" (26 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.08×. |
| #3634 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1477 launches in the last hour referenced "usepaid" (21 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.20×. |
| #3633 | "inu" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 48 of 1477 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (41 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.09×. |