Prediction ledger
5,512 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2612 | "win" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "win" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.16% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #2611 | "wtf" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "wtf" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.22% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #2610 | "remember" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "remember" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.09% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2609 | "walter" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "walter" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.15% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2608 | "war" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "war" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.06% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #2607 | "wtf" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "wtf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.38% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #2606 | "remember" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "remember" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.99% → 0.24% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2605 | "walter" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "walter" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.03% → 0.35% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #2604 | "personal" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "personal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2603 | "wtf" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "wtf" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.94% → 1.41% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2602 | "remember" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "remember" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.29% → 0.36% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2601 | "walter" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "walter" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.65% → 0.44% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #2600 | $YO | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $YO would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,033, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2599 | $YO | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $YO would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,033, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2598 | $DRONE | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DRONE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,021, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2597 | $DRONE | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DRONE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,020, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2596 | "player" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "player" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.04% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #2595 | "cyber" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "cyber" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.06% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2594 | "send" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "send" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.44% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #2593 | "nigga" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "nigga" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.19% (-55%). CORRECT. |
| #2592 | "straight" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "straight" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.12% (-52%). INCORRECT. |
| #2591 | "cyber" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "cyber" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.08% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #2590 | "send" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "send" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.63% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #2589 | "nigga" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "nigga" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 0.09% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #2588 | "luck" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "luck" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.04% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2587 | "cyber" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "cyber" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.09% → 0.04% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2586 | "send" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "send" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 0.62% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2585 | "nigga" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "nigga" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.50% → 0.04% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2584 | $BUY | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BUY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2583 | $BUY | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BUY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2582 | $Mike | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $3,238, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2581 | $Mike | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $4,932, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2580 | "losers" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "losers" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2579 | "finance" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "finance" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.09% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #2578 | "plasma" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "plasma" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.00% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2577 | "bullshit" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "bullshit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.03% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2576 | "power" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "power" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.12% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2575 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.48% → 1.25% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #2574 | "plasma" | narrative · 6H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "plasma" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.01% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2573 | "bullshit" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "bullshit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.06% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #2572 | "trilly" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "trilly" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2571 | "sifi" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "sifi" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2570 | "plasma" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "plasma" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.77% → 0.03% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2569 | "bullshit" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "bullshit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.23% → 0.16% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2568 | $SIFI | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SIFI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,576, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2567 | $SIFI | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SIFI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $4,236, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2566 | $Lucky | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Lucky would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,003, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2565 | $Lucky | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Lucky would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,003, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2564 | "final" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "final" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.10% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2563 | "sifi" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "sifi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.01% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2562 | "microcap" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "microcap" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2561 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.16% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #2560 | "crypto" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "crypto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.86% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #2559 | "sifi" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "sifi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.02% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2558 | "microcap" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "microcap" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.05% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #2557 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.14% (-66%). INCORRECT. |
| #2556 | "smoking" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "smoking" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2555 | "microcap" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "microcap" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 0.13% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2554 | "goonbot" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "goonbot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2553 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.17% → 0.39% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2552 | $PixPad | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $PixPad would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,008, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2551 | $PixPad | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $PixPad would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,008, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2550 | $AHMET | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $AHMET would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,453, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2549 | $AHMET | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $AHMET would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,465, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2548 | "goat" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "goat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.29% (+70%). INCORRECT. |
| #2547 | "wif" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "wif" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.99% (+93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2546 | "angelique" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "angelique" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.08% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #2545 | "goonbot" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "goonbot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.00% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2544 | "started" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "started" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.07% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #2543 | "angelique" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "angelique" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2542 | "goonbot" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "goonbot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.01% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2541 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.92% → 3.69% (-25%). INCORRECT. |
| #2540 | "hope" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "hope" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 0.07% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2539 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.12% → 1.53% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #2538 | "marsx" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "marsx" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.16% → 1.04% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2537 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.49% → 3.09% (-11%). INCORRECT. |
| #2536 | $FF | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $FF would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,609, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2535 | $FF | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $FF would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,544, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2534 | $SOOTS | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SOOTS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $17, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2533 | $SOOTS | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $SOOTS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $17, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2532 | "wearing" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "wearing" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2531 | "spot" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "spot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.07% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #2530 | "rate" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "rate" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.11% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #2529 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 31% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.71% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2528 | "stay" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "stay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.12% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #2527 | "spot" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "spot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.09% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2526 | "rate" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "rate" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.24% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #2525 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.62% (+27%). CORRECT. |
| #2524 | "platform" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "platform" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.11% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2523 | "rate" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "rate" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.48% → 1.21% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2522 | "bond" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "bond" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.79% → 1.24% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #2521 | "usepaid" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "usepaid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.23% → 0.85% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2520 | $Euler | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $Euler would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2519 | $Euler | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $Euler would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,083, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2518 | $Patrikck j | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Patrikck j would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2517 | $Patrikck j | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Patrikck j would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2516 | "blockchain" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "blockchain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.26% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2515 | "elon" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "elon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.68% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2514 | "muse" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "muse" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.09% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #2513 | "marsx" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "marsx" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.45% (+79%). CORRECT. |