Prediction ledger
5,816 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2116 | "view" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 33% that "view" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.05% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #2115 | "web" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "web" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.32% (+98%). INCORRECT. |
| #2114 | "different" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "different" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.11% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2113 | "coge" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "coge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.07% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2112 | "collectible" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "collectible" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.04% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2111 | "web" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "web" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.09% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2110 | "different" | narrative · 6H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "different" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.11% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2109 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.44% → 2.82% (+95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2108 | "far" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "far" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.33% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2107 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.09% → 1.81% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #2106 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.42% → 2.87% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2105 | "coge" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "coge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2104 | $neverwin | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $neverwin would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,105, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2103 | $neverwin | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $neverwin would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,105, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2102 | $DWC | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DWC would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,395, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2101 | $DWC | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DWC would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,395, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2100 | "tickets" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "tickets" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.01% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2099 | "fucking" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "fucking" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.25% (+145%). INCORRECT. |
| #2098 | "reserve" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "reserve" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.14% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2097 | "sludge" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "sludge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.04% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2096 | "left" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "left" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.14% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2095 | "reserve" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 23% that "reserve" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.32% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2094 | "sludge" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "sludge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.14% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #2093 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.18% → 3.14% (+44%). CORRECT. |
| #2092 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 2.91% (+93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2091 | "reserve" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "reserve" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.10% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2090 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.49% → 3.73% (+50%). CORRECT. |
| #2089 | "sludge" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "sludge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 0.75% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2088 | $BRLC | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $BRLC would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $272, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2087 | $BRLC | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $BRLC would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $272, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2086 | $sd | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $sd would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,118, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2085 | $sd | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $sd would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,118, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2084 | "backpack" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "backpack" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.03% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #2083 | "robinhood" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "robinhood" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.52% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2082 | "negrinho" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "negrinho" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2081 | "tired" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "tired" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.08% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #2080 | "mascot" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "mascot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 1.03% (+286%). CORRECT. |
| #2079 | "crypto" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "crypto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.20% → 2.95% (+147%). INCORRECT. |
| #2078 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.30% → 1.62% (+25%). CORRECT. |
| #2077 | "god" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "god" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.14% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #2076 | "local" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "local" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.21% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #2075 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.78% → 1.61% (-10%). INCORRECT. |
| #2074 | "god" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "god" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.39% → 0.42% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2073 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 4.61% (+38%). CORRECT. |
| #2072 | $RAMON | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $RAMON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,156, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2071 | $RAMON | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $RAMON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,184, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2070 | $BRLC | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $BRLC would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2069 | $BRLC | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $BRLC would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2068 | "graded" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "graded" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.04% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #2067 | "inu" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "inu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.67% → 2.95% (+77%). CORRECT. |
| #2066 | "wormhole" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "wormhole" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.30% (+262%). INCORRECT. |
| #2065 | "granny" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "granny" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2064 | "human" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "human" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.44% (+267%). INCORRECT. |
| #2063 | "gen" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "gen" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.05% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #2062 | "wormhole" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "wormhole" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.73% (+126%). INCORRECT. |
| #2061 | "granny" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "granny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2060 | "zuczilla" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "zuczilla" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2059 | "wormhole" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "wormhole" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.45% → 1.51% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #2058 | "granny" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "granny" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2057 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 61% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.14% → 3.28% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2056 | $egeg | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $egeg would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,135, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2055 | $egeg | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $egeg would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,135, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2054 | $RUGSCAN | token · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $RUGSCAN would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,125, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2053 | $RUGSCAN | token · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $RUGSCAN would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,125, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2052 | "retail" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "retail" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.02% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #2051 | "supporting" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "supporting" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.02% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #2050 | "gen" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "gen" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.04% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #2049 | "chat" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "chat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.27% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #2048 | "smarter" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "smarter" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2047 | "bought" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "bought" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.21% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #2046 | "chat" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "chat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.11% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2045 | "nigr" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "nigr" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.16% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2044 | "huddle" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "huddle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2043 | "bought" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bought" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.62% → 0.20% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #2042 | "pepe" | narrative · 1H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "pepe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.68% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2041 | "chat" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "chat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.14% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2040 | $M-A-P | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $M-A-P would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $387, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2039 | $M-A-P | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $M-A-P would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $388, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2038 | $GARLICAT | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $GARLICAT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,136, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2037 | $GARLICAT | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $GARLICAT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,136, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2036 | "siriuscrocodile" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "siriuscrocodile" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.02% (+36%). INCORRECT. |
| #2035 | "solami" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 18% that "solami" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.13% (+71%). INCORRECT. |
| #2034 | "nigr" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "nigr" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.11% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2033 | "cat" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 4.01% → 4.13% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2032 | "theory" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "theory" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #2031 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.14% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2030 | "solamians" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "solamians" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.38% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2029 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 0.81% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2028 | "nigr" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "nigr" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.59% → 1.40% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2027 | "bond" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bond" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.70% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2026 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.31% → 3.14% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2025 | "solamians" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "solamians" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.86% → 0.77% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2024 | $WTF | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $WTF would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,130, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2023 | $WTF | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $WTF would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,130, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2022 | $HALO | token · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that $HALO would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $9,225, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2021 | $HALO | token · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that $HALO would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $10,354, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2020 | "pons" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "pons" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.16% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #2019 | "solamians" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "solamians" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.10% (-40%). INCORRECT. |
| #2018 | "burned" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "burned" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.03% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #2017 | "sola" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "sola" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.13% (-27%). CORRECT. |