Prediction ledger
6,088 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #340 | "deep" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "deep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.12% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #339 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.09% → 1.94% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #338 | "butt" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "butt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.73% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #337 | "emoji" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "emoji" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.28% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #332 | "head" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 53% that "head" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.18% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #331 | "trench" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "trench" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.37% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #330 | "burn" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "burn" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.25% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #329 | "slop" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "slop" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.69% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #328 | "straight" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 70% that "straight" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.26% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #327 | "burn" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.33% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #326 | "slop" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "slop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.38% → 1.93% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #325 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.73% → 4.65% (+25%). CORRECT. |
| #320 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.33% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #319 | "computer" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "computer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.36% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #318 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.25% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #317 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.00% → 0.20% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #316 | "crypt" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "crypt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.07% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #315 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 0.26% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #314 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.07% → 3.55% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #313 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.17% → 5.09% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #308 | "buys" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "buys" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.30% (+40%). CORRECT. |
| #307 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.41% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #306 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.69% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #305 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 1.53% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #304 | "rip" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "rip" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.04% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #303 | "candle" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 1.45% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #302 | "subs" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "subs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #301 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.46% → 1.79% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #296 | "version" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "version" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.15% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #295 | "subs" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "subs" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.03% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #294 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 2.85% (+59%). INCORRECT. |
| #293 | "fox" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "fox" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.48% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #292 | "signal" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "signal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.11% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #291 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 1.71% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #290 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.88% → 5.07% (+76%). INCORRECT. |
| #289 | "fox" | narrative · 1H | 73% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 73% that "fox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.37% → 0.76% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #284 | "round" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "round" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.09% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #283 | "vibes" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "vibes" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 1.04% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #282 | "duck" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "duck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.08% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #281 | "hitler" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "hitler" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #280 | "phil" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 66% that "phil" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.59% (+178%). CORRECT. |
| #279 | "hitler" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "hitler" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 0.07% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #278 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 4.40% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #277 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 39% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.22% → 4.15% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #272 | "brain" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 26% that "brain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.26% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #271 | "ambani" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "ambani" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.09% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #270 | "free" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "free" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 1.13% (+26%). INCORRECT. |
| #269 | "final" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "final" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.23% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #268 | "mission" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "mission" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.23% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #267 | "ambani" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambani" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.20% → 0.04% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #266 | "free" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "free" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.32% → 1.67% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #265 | "final" | narrative · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "final" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.40% → 0.19% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #260 | "robinhood" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "robinhood" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.85% (+63%). CORRECT. |
| #259 | "ambuni" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambuni" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #258 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 1.32% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #257 | "boss" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "boss" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.16% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #256 | "paradox" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "paradox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #255 | "ambuni" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambuni" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #254 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.49% → 1.73% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #253 | "boss" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "boss" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.82% → 0.17% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #248 | "ethstr" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "ethstr" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #247 | "latest" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "latest" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #246 | "existing" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "existing" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #245 | "paws" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "paws" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 1.00% (+14%). CORRECT. |
| #244 | "guy" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "guy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.37% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #243 | "paws" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "paws" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.03% → 0.98% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #242 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.87% → 2.85% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #241 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.91% → 4.19% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #236 | "refuses" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "refuses" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-54%). INCORRECT. |
| #235 | "instead" | narrative · 6H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "instead" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.03% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #234 | "quoted" | narrative · 6H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "quoted" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #233 | "baby" | narrative · 6H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "baby" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.25% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #232 | "doomed" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doomed" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.20% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #231 | "instead" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "instead" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #230 | "quoted" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "quoted" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.39% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #229 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 0.12% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #224 | "show" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "show" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.16% (+29%). CORRECT. |
| #223 | "buttmoji" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "buttmoji" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.28% (-54%). INCORRECT. |
| #222 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 41% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.30% → 4.28% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #221 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 6.82% → 4.87% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #220 | "syndrome" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "syndrome" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #219 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.53% → 1.36% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #218 | "method" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "method" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.82% → 0.40% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #217 | "launchpad" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "launchpad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.86% → 1.28% (-55%). CORRECT. |
| #212 | "history" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "history" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.13% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #211 | "wallet" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "wallet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.96% → 0.93% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #210 | "chicken" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "chicken" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.03% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #209 | "trenchbrain" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "trenchbrain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #208 | "jet" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "jet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #207 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.88% → 1.50% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #206 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 67% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.47% → 4.62% (+33%). CORRECT. |
| #205 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.93% → 4.93% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #200 | "builtby" | narrative · 6H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "builtby" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.03% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #199 | "safe" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "safe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.19% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #198 | "method" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "method" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.55% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #197 | "qsb" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "qsb" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.05% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #196 | "research" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "research" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.66% (+51%). CORRECT. |
| #195 | "bitcoin" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "bitcoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.63% → 0.91% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #194 | "method" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 42% that "method" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 2.82% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #193 | "qsb" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "qsb" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.24% → 0.33% (-90%). INCORRECT. |