Prediction ledger
6,792 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #592 | "hub" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "hub" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.04% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #591 | "trending" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "trending" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.60% (+81%). CORRECT. |
| #590 | "discovered" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "discovered" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.48% (+58%). CORRECT. |
| #589 | "100x" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "100x" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.46% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #588 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #587 | "100x" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "100x" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.33% → 0.08% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #586 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.46% → 2.45% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #585 | "sib" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "sib" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.79% → 0.08% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #584 | $e | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $e would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $876, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #583 | $e | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $e would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $876, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #582 | $HONEYSTAMP | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $HONEYSTAMP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,071, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #581 | $HONEYSTAMP | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $HONEYSTAMP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,071, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #580 | "ambani" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "ambani" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.04% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #579 | "chain" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "chain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.58% → 1.88% (+19%). INCORRECT. |
| #578 | "crypto" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "crypto" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.03% → 1.26% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #577 | "claimed" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "claimed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.21% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #576 | "crocodile" | narrative · 6H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 74% that "crocodile" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.34% (+763%). CORRECT. |
| #575 | "crypto" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "crypto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.00% → 1.67% (+68%). INCORRECT. |
| #574 | "claimed" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "claimed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.26% (-66%). INCORRECT. |
| #573 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.84% → 1.02% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #572 | "girl" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "girl" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #571 | "persuasion" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "persuasion" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.36% → 1.16% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #570 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.76% → 2.58% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #569 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.95% → 6.05% (+22%). CORRECT. |
| #568 | $$GOAT | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$GOAT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,323, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #567 | $$GOAT | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$GOAT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,323, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #566 | $SYDNEY | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SYDNEY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,070, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #565 | $SYDNEY | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SYDNEY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,070, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #564 | "locked" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 18% that "locked" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.21% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #563 | "intelligence" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "intelligence" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 1.55% (+98%). CORRECT. |
| #562 | "spacing" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "spacing" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #561 | "clodyssey" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "clodyssey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.00% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #560 | "charlie" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "charlie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #559 | "spacing" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "spacing" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.01% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #558 | "guild" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "guild" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.01% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #557 | "clodyssey" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "clodyssey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.02% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #556 | "called" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 55% that "called" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.24% (-13%). PARTIAL. |
| #555 | "guild" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "guild" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #554 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.89% → 3.16% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #553 | "clodyssey" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "clodyssey" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.95% → 0.08% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #552 | $stick | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $stick would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,063, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #551 | $stick | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $stick would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,063, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #550 | $BABY | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $BABY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $898, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #549 | $BABY | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $BABY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,336, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #548 | "gainbro" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 29% that "gainbro" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #547 | "guild" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "guild" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.01% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #546 | "mamdani" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "mamdani" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #545 | "persuasion" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 61% that "persuasion" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.21% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #544 | "gainbro" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "gainbro" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.07% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #543 | "unit" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "unit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.04% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #542 | "persuasion" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "persuasion" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 1.07% (+51%). CORRECT. |
| #541 | "underpants" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "underpants" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #540 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.07% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #539 | "mamdani" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "mamdani" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #538 | "unit" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "unit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.81% → 0.07% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #537 | "persuasion" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "persuasion" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.00% → 4.36% (-13%). INCORRECT. |
| #536 | $beer | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $beer would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $222, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #535 | $beer | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $beer would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $222, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #534 | $$GOAT | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$GOAT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,149, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #533 | $$GOAT | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$GOAT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,149, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #532 | "frog" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "frog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.44% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #531 | "unit" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "unit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.04% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #530 | "underpants" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "underpants" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.10% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #529 | "gpu" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 63% that "gpu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.23% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #528 | "system" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "system" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.16% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #527 | "gpu" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 70% that "gpu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.67% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #526 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.93% → 4.20% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #525 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 6.62% → 4.33% (-35%). INCORRECT. |
| #524 | "within" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "within" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.22% (-29%). INCORRECT. |
| #523 | "underpants" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "underpants" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 2.50% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #522 | "gpu" | narrative · 1H | 80% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 80% that "gpu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.02% → 2.73% (-32%). INCORRECT. |
| #521 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.11% → 5.23% (+27%). CORRECT. |
| #520 | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $qq would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,067, no recent trades). CORRECT. | |
| #519 | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $qq would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,067, no recent trades). CORRECT. | |
| #518 | $speedrun | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $speedrun would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $632, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #517 | $speedrun | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $speedrun would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $632, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #516 | "atlas" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "atlas" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.07% (+83%). INCORRECT. |
| #515 | "mayhem" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "mayhem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.63% (+23%). INCORRECT. |
| #514 | "inu" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "inu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.34% → 2.49% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #513 | "petawatt" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "petawatt" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.01% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #512 | "search" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "search" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.01% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #511 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.36% → 2.37% (+75%). CORRECT. |
| #510 | "mode" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "mode" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 1.14% (+172%). INCORRECT. |
| #509 | "petawatt" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "petawatt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.03% (-92%). INCORRECT. |
| #508 | "goat" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "goat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.36% (+40%). INCORRECT. |
| #507 | "petawatt" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "petawatt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.68% → 0.16% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #506 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.46% → 3.28% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #505 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.07% → 1.77% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #504 | $GTA6 | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $GTA6 would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $306, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #503 | $GTA6 | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $GTA6 would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $8,184, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #502 | $angel | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $angel would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $206, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #501 | $angel | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $angel would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $206, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #500 | "rug" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "rug" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.20% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #499 | "cat" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "cat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 4.41% → 4.24% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #498 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.63% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #497 | "angel" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "angel" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.35% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #496 | "wojak" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "wojak" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.12% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #495 | "top" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "top" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.40% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #494 | "mayhem" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "mayhem" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 1.41% (+170%). INCORRECT. |
| #493 | "angel" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "angel" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.35% → 0.63% (-53%). CORRECT. |