Prediction ledger
5,432 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1964 | "bitcat" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "bitcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1963 | "tobey" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "tobey" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.90% → 0.05% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1962 | "cuckman" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "cuckman" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.20% → 0.05% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1961 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.32% → 1.44% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #1956 | "artificial" | narrative · 24H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "artificial" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.11% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #1955 | "paid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "paid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.55% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #1954 | "feet" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "feet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.02% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #1953 | "motion" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "motion" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #1952 | "across" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 26% that "across" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.30% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #1951 | "feet" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "feet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.01% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #1950 | "motion" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "motion" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.06% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #1949 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.74% → 1.23% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #1948 | "brain" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "brain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.30% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #1947 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.64% → 1.38% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #1946 | "motion" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "motion" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.69% → 0.36% (-79%). INCORRECT. |
| #1945 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.69% → 0.96% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #1940 | "frog" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "frog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.41% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #1939 | "macuck" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "macuck" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.16% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #1938 | "cuckman" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "cuckman" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.19% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #1937 | "tobey" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "tobey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.19% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #1936 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.14% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #1935 | "cuckman" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "cuckman" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.91% (+33%). INCORRECT. |
| #1934 | "tobey" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "tobey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.87% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1933 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 3.45% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #1932 | "yapr" | narrative · 1H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "yapr" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1931 | "tobey" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "tobey" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.91% → 4.90% (+25%). INCORRECT. |
| #1930 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.02% → 4.10% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1929 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.16% → 5.32% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1924 | "markets" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "markets" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.23% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #1923 | "stacked" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "stacked" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.01% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #1922 | "coal" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "coal" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.04% (-46%). INCORRECT. |
| #1921 | "pill" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "pill" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.13% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #1920 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.65% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1919 | "pepe" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "pepe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.78% → 1.01% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #1918 | "pill" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "pill" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.36% (+21%). CORRECT. |
| #1917 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 1.64% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #1916 | "king" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "king" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.18% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #1915 | "pill" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pill" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.44% → 0.41% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #1914 | "baton" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "baton" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.54% → 1.34% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #1913 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.64% → 0.53% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #1908 | "chaos" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "chaos" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.41% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #1907 | "trenchdog" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "trenchdog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.01% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #1906 | "trenchcat" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "trenchcat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.03% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #1905 | "pfp" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "pfp" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.04% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #1904 | "cash" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 25% that "cash" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.30% (+175%). INCORRECT. |
| #1903 | "trenchdog" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "trenchdog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.02% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #1902 | "trenchcat" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "trenchcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.06% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #1901 | "pfp" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "pfp" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.09% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #1900 | "makin" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "makin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.05% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #1899 | "pfp" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "pfp" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.15% → 0.42% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #1898 | "name" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "name" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.25% → 0.63% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #1897 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.70% → 0.94% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #1892 | "jump" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "jump" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.11% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #1891 | "random" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "random" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.18% (+30%). CORRECT. |
| #1890 | "name" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "name" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.43% (-13%). INCORRECT. |
| #1889 | "domain" | narrative · 24H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "domain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.00% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1888 | "wif" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 56% that "wif" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.61% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #1887 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.25% → 1.82% (+46%). INCORRECT. |
| #1886 | "name" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "name" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.37% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #1885 | "domain" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "domain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.50% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1884 | "fomo" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "fomo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.24% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #1883 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.60% → 3.80% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #1882 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.56% → 4.43% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #1881 | "domain" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "domain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.80% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1876 | "rusd" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "rusd" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1875 | "grokbit" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "grokbit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.07% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #1874 | "supra" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "supra" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.76% → 1.43% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #1873 | "stututu" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "stututu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.76% → 1.43% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #1872 | "called" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "called" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.11% (-20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1871 | "grokbit" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "grokbit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1870 | "supra" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "supra" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 2.64% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1869 | "stututu" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "stututu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 2.64% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1868 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.22% (+15%). INCORRECT. |
| #1867 | "grokbit" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "grokbit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.07% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1866 | "supra" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "supra" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.04% → 4.87% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1865 | "stututu" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "stututu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.04% → 4.87% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1860 | "hat" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 35% that "hat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.16% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1859 | "self" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "self" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.10% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #1858 | "multi" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "multi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.09% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #1857 | "tech" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "tech" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.53% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #1856 | "playground" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "playground" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.05% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #1855 | "multi" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "multi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.07% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #1854 | "tech" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 56% that "tech" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.33% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #1853 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 1.18% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #1852 | "views" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "views" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.04% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #1851 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.43% → 3.59% (+47%). CORRECT. |
| #1850 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.36% → 5.56% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #1849 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.28% → 4.60% (-13%). INCORRECT. |
| #1844 | "test" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 48% that "test" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.57% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1843 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "agent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.95% → 0.93% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1842 | "stream" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "stream" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.22% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #1841 | "clones" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "clones" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.02% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #1840 | "layer" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "layer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.16% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #1839 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 6% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.49% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #1838 | "stream" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "stream" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.15% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #1837 | "clones" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "clones" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.02% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #1836 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 65% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 1.76% (+52%). CORRECT. |
| #1835 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.26% → 1.58% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #1834 | "stream" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "stream" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.18% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #1833 | "clones" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "clones" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.72% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |