Prediction ledger
4,392 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3313 | "ryz101" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "ryz101" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.10% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3309 | "ryz101" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "ryz101" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.01% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #3308 | "economy" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "economy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.08% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #3307 | "ryz101" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "ryz101" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.08% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #3300 | "vest" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "vest" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.04% (+135%). INCORRECT. |
| #3298 | "odyssean" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "odyssean" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.16% (+24%). INCORRECT. |
| #3296 | "wallet" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "wallet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.83% (+56%). INCORRECT. |
| #3294 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.09% → 0.83% (-24%). INCORRECT. |
| #3292 | "gta" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "gta" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.05% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #3282 | "cdm" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "cdm" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.00% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3280 | "planet" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "planet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.15% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #3279 | "cdm" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "cdm" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.01% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3276 | "dreams" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "dreams" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.14% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #3275 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.71% → 2.04% (-25%). INCORRECT. |
| #3267 | "wizard" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "wizard" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.30% (+23%). INCORRECT. |
| #3261 | "moodeng" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "moodeng" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.31% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #3260 | "pure" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 27% that "pure" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.30% (+41%). INCORRECT. |
| #3258 | "moodeng" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "moodeng" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.10% → 1.08% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #3250 | "scat" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "scat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.05% (-70%). INCORRECT. |
| #3247 | "king" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "king" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.43% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #3246 | "scat" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "scat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.04% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3243 | "king" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "king" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.64% → 0.92% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #3242 | "scat" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "scat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.72% → 0.04% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3218 | "clau" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "clau" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.00% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #3216 | "tacos" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "tacos" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3215 | "clau" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "clau" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.01% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #3212 | "tiny" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "tiny" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.12% (-57%). INCORRECT. |
| #3204 | "makin" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "makin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.27% (+108%). INCORRECT. |
| #3203 | "index" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "index" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.12% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #3202 | "dog" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "dog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.50% → 2.08% (+39%). INCORRECT. |
| #3201 | "fix6900" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "fix6900" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.04% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #3199 | "read" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "read" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.51% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #3198 | "index" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "index" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 0.26% (-71%). INCORRECT. |
| #3197 | "fix6900" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "fix6900" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.11% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #3196 | "terminal" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "terminal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.08% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #3195 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.11% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #3194 | "fix6900" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "fix6900" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.75% → 0.36% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #3193 | "save" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "save" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 0.36% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #3188 | "trump" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "trump" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.58% (+26%). INCORRECT. |
| #3187 | "ronaldo" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "ronaldo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.14% (+36%). INCORRECT. |
| #3186 | "gov" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "gov" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.17% (+31%). INCORRECT. |
| #3165 | "crypto" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "crypto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.42% → 1.61% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3162 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.85% → 5.64% (+47%). INCORRECT. |
| #3155 | "ecosystem" | narrative · 24H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "ecosystem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.15% (-47%). INCORRECT. |
| #3151 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 5.79% (+40%). INCORRECT. |
| #3148 | "intelligence" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "intelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 1.25% (+247%). INCORRECT. |
| #3139 | "instead" | narrative · 24H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "instead" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.10% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #3133 | "seal" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "seal" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.66% (-20%). INCORRECT. |
| #3131 | "cowe" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 10% that "cowe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.16% → 3.52% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3130 | "seal" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "seal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.32% → 2.06% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #3123 | "hello" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "hello" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 0.98% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3118 | "robot" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "robot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.10% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #3117 | "p500" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "p500" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.24% (-70%). INCORRECT. |
| #3115 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.83% → 4.74% (+68%). INCORRECT. |
| #3114 | "robot" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "robot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.52% → 0.05% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3113 | "p500" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "p500" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.58% → 1.65% (-54%). INCORRECT. |
| #3101 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.10% → 3.19% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #3100 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.11% (-70%). INCORRECT. |
| #3090 | "cowe" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "cowe" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.47% (+314%). INCORRECT. |
| #3088 | "bob" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "bob" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.43% (+152%). INCORRECT. |
| #3082 | "rsi" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "rsi" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 0.06% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3075 | "spacex" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "spacex" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.23% (-9%). INCORRECT. |
| #3069 | "worm" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "worm" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.42% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #3067 | "worm" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "worm" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.09% → 0.31% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3065 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.06% → 3.42% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #3062 | $WAIF | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $WAIF would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,914, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #3061 | $WAIF | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $WAIF would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $7,797,170, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #3060 | "future" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "future" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.34% (+45%). INCORRECT. |
| #3059 | "repo" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "repo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.01% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #3058 | "git" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "git" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.04% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #3056 | "git" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "git" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.01% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3054 | "claude" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "claude" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.10% → 0.26% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #3053 | "free" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "free" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.30% → 0.29% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #3050 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.94% → 0.30% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3049 | "free" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "free" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.27% → 0.30% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3044 | "donated" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 20% that "donated" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.05% (+80%). INCORRECT. |
| #3043 | "save" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "save" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.61% (+240%). INCORRECT. |
| #3041 | "seals" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 14% that "seals" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.36% (+167%). INCORRECT. |
| #3040 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.89% → 0.76% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3038 | "seals" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 9% that "seals" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.82% → 1.00% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #3035 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.24% → 1.06% (-53%). INCORRECT. |
| #3028 | "launchpad" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "launchpad" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.57% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3026 | "cap" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cap" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.38% (+50%). INCORRECT. |
| #3022 | "cap" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cap" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.68% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #3019 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.12% → 4.77% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #3018 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 4.20% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #3012 | "night" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "night" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.15% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #3011 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "born" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.56% (+43%). INCORRECT. |
| #2995 | "doge" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.89% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2993 | "realist" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "realist" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2992 | "pools" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pools" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2991 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 1.07% (+69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2989 | "realist" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "realist" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2988 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.61% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2987 | "realist" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "realist" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.66% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2985 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.72% → 1.61% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2982 | $batoncat | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,633, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2981 | $batoncat | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,661, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2980 | "rest" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "rest" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.16% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2957 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 5.30% → 4.13% (-22%). INCORRECT. |