Prediction ledger
5,208 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2540 | "hope" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "hope" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 0.07% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2539 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.12% → 1.53% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #2538 | "marsx" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "marsx" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.16% → 1.04% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2537 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.49% → 3.09% (-11%). INCORRECT. |
| #2532 | "wearing" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "wearing" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2531 | "spot" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "spot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.07% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #2530 | "rate" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "rate" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.11% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #2529 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 31% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.71% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2528 | "stay" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "stay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.12% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #2527 | "spot" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "spot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.09% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2526 | "rate" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "rate" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.24% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #2525 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.62% (+27%). CORRECT. |
| #2524 | "platform" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "platform" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.11% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2523 | "rate" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "rate" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.48% → 1.21% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2522 | "bond" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "bond" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.79% → 1.24% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #2521 | "usepaid" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "usepaid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.23% → 0.85% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2516 | "blockchain" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "blockchain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.26% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2515 | "elon" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "elon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.68% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2514 | "muse" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "muse" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.09% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #2513 | "marsx" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "marsx" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.45% (+79%). CORRECT. |
| #2512 | "claudio" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "claudio" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.01% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2511 | "muse" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "muse" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.17% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #2510 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.98% (+38%). CORRECT. |
| #2509 | "marsx" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "marsx" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.99% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #2508 | "making" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "making" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.25% (-21%). INCORRECT. |
| #2507 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.57% → 1.33% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2506 | "marsx" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "marsx" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 2.16% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2505 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.57% → 3.49% (-24%). CORRECT. |
| #2500 | "open" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "open" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.50% (+26%). INCORRECT. |
| #2499 | "groksey" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "groksey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.00% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2498 | "grok" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "grok" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.46% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2497 | "intelligence" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "intelligence" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.66% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2496 | "selfie" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "selfie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.01% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #2495 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.18% → 0.67% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2494 | "intelligence" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "intelligence" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.97% → 0.61% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #2493 | "avgo" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "avgo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2492 | "wind" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "wind" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.04% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2491 | "grok" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "grok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.55% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2490 | "bot" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "bot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.59% → 0.47% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2489 | "intelligence" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "intelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 0.43% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #2484 | "bird" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "bird" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.08% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2483 | "avgo" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "avgo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2482 | "crying" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "crying" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.64% → 0.16% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2481 | "casino" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "casino" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.21% → 0.35% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2480 | "trump" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 48% that "trump" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.63% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2479 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.15% → 1.73% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #2478 | "crying" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "crying" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.36% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2477 | "casino" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "casino" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.62% → 0.73% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2476 | "playful" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "playful" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.24% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2475 | "avgo" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "avgo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.84% → 0.04% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2474 | "crying" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "crying" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.44% → 1.68% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2473 | "casino" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "casino" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 16.62% → 2.40% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2468 | "theme" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 35% that "theme" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.13% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #2467 | "put" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "put" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.19% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #2466 | "anime" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "anime" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.10% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2465 | "bag" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "bag" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.21% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2464 | "lmao" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "lmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.08% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2463 | "put" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "put" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.17% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2462 | "anime" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "anime" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.12% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2461 | "bag" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "bag" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.15% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2460 | "dogs" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "dogs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.10% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2459 | "bag" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "bag" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.47% → 0.20% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2458 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.73% → 3.69% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2457 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.98% → 3.56% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #2452 | "newborn" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "newborn" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2451 | "ticket" | narrative · 24H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "ticket" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.03% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #2450 | "hire" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "hire" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.40% (+41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2449 | "project" | narrative · 24H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "project" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.21% (-59%). INCORRECT. |
| #2448 | "pls" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 34% that "pls" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.10% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2447 | "ticket" | narrative · 6H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "ticket" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.03% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2446 | "hire" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "hire" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.38% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #2445 | "project" | narrative · 6H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "project" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.13% → 0.32% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #2444 | "culture" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "culture" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.03% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #2443 | "ticket" | narrative · 1H | 84% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 84% that "ticket" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.45% → 0.03% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #2442 | "hire" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "hire" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 1.10% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2441 | "project" | narrative · 1H | 84% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 84% that "project" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.02% → 0.13% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #2436 | "autonomous" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "autonomous" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.44% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #2435 | "rape" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "rape" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.05% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #2434 | "robot" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "robot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.28% (+10%). CORRECT. |
| #2433 | "watermelon" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "watermelon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.06% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #2432 | "giraffe" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "giraffe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.03% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2431 | "rape" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "rape" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.09% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2430 | "robot" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "robot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.22% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #2429 | "watermelon" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "watermelon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.08% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2428 | "farming" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "farming" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.04% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2427 | "robot" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "robot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.29% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2426 | "watermelon" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "watermelon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.52% → 0.14% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2425 | "ploy" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "ploy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2420 | "left" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 53% that "left" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.13% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2419 | "heads" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "heads" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.02% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2418 | "catch" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "catch" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.05% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2417 | "bull" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 17% that "bull" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.28% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2416 | "team" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "team" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.33% (-33%). INCORRECT. |
| #2415 | "bull" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "bull" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.14% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2414 | "ploy" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "ploy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.27% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #2413 | "chat" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "chat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.09% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2412 | "sir" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "sir" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.19% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #2411 | "chat" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "chat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.15% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #2410 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.10% → 4.20% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2409 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.16% → 7.04% (+36%). CORRECT. |