Prediction ledger
5,848 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #912 | "charts" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "charts" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.16% (+42%). INCORRECT. |
| #911 | "cap" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "cap" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.54% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #910 | "agents" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "agents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.32% → 0.63% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #909 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.26% → 2.63% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #908 | "zpad" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 79% that "zpad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.34% (+65%). CORRECT. |
| #907 | "tiger" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "tiger" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 1.08% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #906 | "altai" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "altai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.89% → 0.82% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #905 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.44% → 4.82% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #900 | "privacy" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "privacy" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.11% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #899 | "keep" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 20% that "keep" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.42% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #898 | "call" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 28% that "call" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.83% (+55%). INCORRECT. |
| #897 | "silicon" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 37% that "silicon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.34% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #896 | "confirmed" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 21% that "confirmed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.33% (+306%). INCORRECT. |
| #895 | "call" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "call" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 1.44% (+47%). INCORRECT. |
| #894 | "musk" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "musk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.14% → 0.62% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #893 | "silicon" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "silicon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.35% → 0.66% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #892 | "without" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 69% that "without" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.22% (+16%). CORRECT. |
| #891 | "read" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "read" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.77% → 1.33% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #890 | "silicon" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "silicon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.63% → 1.94% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #889 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.42% → 3.75% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #884 | "readreadread" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "readreadread" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #883 | "claim" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 16% that "claim" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.32% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #882 | "unfazed" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "unfazed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.10% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #881 | "man" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "man" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.36% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #880 | "hour" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "hour" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.21% (+36%). CORRECT. |
| #879 | "unfazed" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "unfazed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.29% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #878 | "read" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "read" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.95% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #877 | "man" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "man" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 0.59% (-40%). CORRECT. |
| #876 | "henry" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "henry" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #875 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 29% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.01% → 4.22% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #874 | "tschuna" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "tschuna" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.05% → 2.30% (-43%). INCORRECT. |
| #873 | "massimo" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "massimo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.12% → 8.56% (+67%). INCORRECT. |
| #868 | "earn" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "earn" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.46% (+11%). CORRECT. |
| #867 | "tschuna" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "tschuna" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.24% (+55%). INCORRECT. |
| #866 | "tiger" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "tiger" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 1.65% (+683%). INCORRECT. |
| #865 | "altai" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "altai" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 1.45% (+626%). CORRECT. |
| #864 | "haggle" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "haggle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #863 | "tschuna" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "tschuna" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.65% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #862 | "tiger" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "tiger" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.96% → 2.52% (+162%). INCORRECT. |
| #861 | "altai" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "altai" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 2.09% (+113%). CORRECT. |
| #860 | "diary" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "diary" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.14% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #859 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.44% → 8.21% (+85%). CORRECT. |
| #858 | "tiger" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "tiger" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 8.37% (+74%). CORRECT. |
| #857 | "altai" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "altai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.95% → 5.70% (+15%). CORRECT. |
| #852 | "paper" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "paper" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.27% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #851 | "desk" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "desk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.12% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #850 | "bags" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "bags" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.10% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #849 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "agent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.19% → 0.96% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #848 | "inacio" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inacio" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.03% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #847 | "account" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "account" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.74% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #846 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.84% → 1.07% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #845 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.96% → 1.94% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #844 | "concept" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "concept" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.43% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #843 | "tiktok" | narrative · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "tiktok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.82% → 0.47% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #842 | "account" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "account" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.44% → 1.92% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #841 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.55% → 2.73% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #836 | "charity" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "charity" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.05% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #835 | "account" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "account" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.44% (+31%). INCORRECT. |
| #834 | "tiktok" | narrative · 24H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tiktok" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.29% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #833 | "massimo" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "massimo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 1.66% (+610%). INCORRECT. |
| #832 | "otc" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "otc" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.05% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #831 | "send" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "send" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.61% → 0.75% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #830 | "massimo" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "massimo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.24% → 3.07% (+147%). INCORRECT. |
| #829 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.22% → 3.70% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #828 | "otterpreneur" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "otterpreneur" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.10% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #827 | "send" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "send" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.71% → 3.57% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #826 | "massimo" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "massimo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.71% → 2.86% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #825 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.93% → 2.14% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #820 | "across" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "across" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.31% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #819 | "send" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "send" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.65% (+20%). CORRECT. |
| #818 | "candle" | narrative · 24H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "candle" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.12% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #817 | "pepper" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "pepper" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.59% (+388%). CORRECT. |
| #816 | "born" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "born" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.51% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #815 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.16% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #814 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.66% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #813 | "pepper" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "pepper" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.96% (+43%). CORRECT. |
| #812 | "king" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "king" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.34% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #811 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.03% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #810 | "pepper" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "pepper" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.27% → 2.24% (-31%). INCORRECT. |
| #809 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.98% → 7.51% (+89%). INCORRECT. |
| #804 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "born" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.53% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #803 | "green" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "green" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.64% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #802 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.02% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #801 | "gay" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "gay" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.15% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #800 | "trending" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "trending" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.24% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #799 | "represents" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "represents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.23% → 0.21% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #798 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.04% (-92%). INCORRECT. |
| #797 | "gay" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "gay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 0.16% (-86%). INCORRECT. |
| #796 | "start" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "start" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.29% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #795 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.16% → 1.28% (-59%). INCORRECT. |
| #794 | "gay" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "gay" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.99% → 0.53% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #793 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.05% → 2.63% (-35%). INCORRECT. |
| #788 | "generation" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "generation" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.16% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #787 | "represents" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 39% that "represents" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.35% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #786 | "put" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "put" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.25% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #785 | "putin" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "putin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.06% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #784 | "safe" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "safe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.14% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #783 | "put" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "put" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.22% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #782 | "putin" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "putin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.10% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #781 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.34% → 4.19% (+212%). INCORRECT. |