Prediction ledger
6,008 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #540 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.07% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #539 | "mamdani" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "mamdani" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #538 | "unit" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "unit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.81% → 0.07% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #537 | "persuasion" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "persuasion" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.00% → 4.36% (-13%). INCORRECT. |
| #532 | "frog" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "frog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.44% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #531 | "unit" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "unit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.04% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #530 | "underpants" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "underpants" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.10% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #529 | "gpu" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 63% that "gpu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.23% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #528 | "system" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "system" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.16% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #527 | "gpu" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 70% that "gpu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.67% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #526 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.93% → 4.20% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #525 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 6.62% → 4.33% (-35%). INCORRECT. |
| #524 | "within" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "within" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.22% (-29%). INCORRECT. |
| #523 | "underpants" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "underpants" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 2.50% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #522 | "gpu" | narrative · 1H | 80% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 80% that "gpu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.02% → 2.73% (-32%). INCORRECT. |
| #521 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.11% → 5.23% (+27%). CORRECT. |
| #516 | "atlas" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "atlas" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.07% (+83%). INCORRECT. |
| #515 | "mayhem" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "mayhem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.63% (+23%). INCORRECT. |
| #514 | "inu" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "inu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.34% → 2.49% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #513 | "petawatt" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "petawatt" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.01% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #512 | "search" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "search" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.01% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #511 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.36% → 2.37% (+75%). CORRECT. |
| #510 | "mode" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "mode" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 1.14% (+172%). INCORRECT. |
| #509 | "petawatt" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "petawatt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.03% (-92%). INCORRECT. |
| #508 | "goat" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "goat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.36% (+40%). INCORRECT. |
| #507 | "petawatt" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "petawatt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.68% → 0.16% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #506 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.46% → 3.28% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #505 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.07% → 1.77% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #500 | "rug" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "rug" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.20% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #499 | "cat" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "cat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 4.41% → 4.24% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #498 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.63% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #497 | "angel" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "angel" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.35% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #496 | "wojak" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "wojak" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.12% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #495 | "top" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "top" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.40% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #494 | "mayhem" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "mayhem" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 1.41% (+170%). INCORRECT. |
| #493 | "angel" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "angel" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.35% → 0.63% (-53%). CORRECT. |
| #492 | "crowd" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "crowd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #491 | "beauty" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "beauty" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.85% → 0.36% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #490 | "angel" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "angel" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.94% → 2.46% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #489 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.06% → 4.11% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #484 | "scissors" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "scissors" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #483 | "money" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "money" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.36% → 3.53% (+159%). INCORRECT. |
| #482 | "quantum" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "quantum" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 6.76% → 2.82% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #481 | "sib" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "sib" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.30% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #480 | "ultimate" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "ultimate" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.06% (-66%). INCORRECT. |
| #479 | "taking" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "taking" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.09% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #478 | "paid" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "paid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.03% → 0.45% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #477 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 0.72% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #476 | "grencat" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "grencat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.09% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #475 | "usepaid" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "usepaid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 0.61% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #474 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.59% → 3.46% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #473 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.68% → 4.07% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #468 | "share" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "share" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.21% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #467 | "intelligent" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "intelligent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.40% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #466 | "beauty" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "beauty" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.25% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #465 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "uxento" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.48% → 3.23% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #464 | "clyde" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "clyde" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #463 | "vamp" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "vamp" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.15% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #462 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.40% → 1.57% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #461 | "cod" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "cod" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.96% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #460 | "toad" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "toad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.09% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #459 | "cod" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "cod" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.08% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #458 | "sib" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "sib" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.03% → 8.67% (+44%). INCORRECT. |
| #457 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.16% → 0.96% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #452 | "cartoon" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "cartoon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.22% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #451 | "sib" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 27% that "sib" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.04% → 2.89% (+178%). INCORRECT. |
| #450 | "intelligent" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 36% that "intelligent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.22% → 1.27% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #449 | "beauty" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "beauty" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.37% → 1.22% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #448 | "round" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "round" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #447 | "intelligent" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "intelligent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.78% → 3.99% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #446 | "beauty" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "beauty" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.02% → 4.19% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #445 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.30% → 6.20% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #440 | "monkey" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "monkey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.16% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #439 | "theater" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "theater" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.11% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #438 | "amc" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "amc" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.26% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #437 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.52% → 2.85% (+87%). CORRECT. |
| #436 | "chaos" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "chaos" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.32% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #435 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.30% → 3.76% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #434 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.99% → 8.16% (+63%). CORRECT. |
| #433 | "mouse" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "mouse" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.49% → 3.08% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #428 | "force" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "force" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #427 | "fuck" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "fuck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.76% (+68%). INCORRECT. |
| #426 | "starblo" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "starblo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.07% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #425 | "mouse" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "mouse" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 1.39% (+287%). CORRECT. |
| #424 | "candles" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "candles" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.19% (-63%). INCORRECT. |
| #423 | "save" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "save" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.56% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #422 | "please" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "please" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.52% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #421 | "lmao" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "lmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.74% → 0.27% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #416 | "rofl" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "rofl" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.01% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #415 | "burned" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "burned" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.19% (-64%). INCORRECT. |
| #414 | "lmao" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "lmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.21% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #413 | "paired" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "paired" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.03% → 0.82% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #412 | "tpad" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "tpad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.53% → 0.17% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #411 | "paired" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "paired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.54% → 1.20% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #410 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.98% → 10.24% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #409 | "roflmao" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "roflmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.03% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #404 | "blue" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "blue" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.11% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #403 | "paws" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "paws" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.04% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #402 | "roflmao" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 72% that "roflmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.65% (+92%). CORRECT. |
| #401 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.08% → 3.84% (+255%). INCORRECT. |