Prediction ledger
5,464 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1860 | "hat" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 35% that "hat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.16% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1859 | "self" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "self" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.10% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #1858 | "multi" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "multi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.09% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #1857 | "tech" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "tech" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.53% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #1856 | "playground" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "playground" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.05% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #1855 | "multi" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "multi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.07% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #1854 | "tech" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 56% that "tech" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.33% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #1853 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 1.18% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #1852 | "views" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "views" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.04% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #1851 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.43% → 3.59% (+47%). CORRECT. |
| #1850 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.36% → 5.56% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #1849 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.28% → 4.60% (-13%). INCORRECT. |
| #1844 | "test" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 48% that "test" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.57% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1843 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "agent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.95% → 0.93% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #1842 | "stream" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "stream" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.22% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #1841 | "clones" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "clones" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.02% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #1840 | "layer" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "layer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.16% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #1839 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 6% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.49% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #1838 | "stream" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "stream" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.15% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #1837 | "clones" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "clones" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.02% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #1836 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 65% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 1.76% (+52%). CORRECT. |
| #1835 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.26% → 1.58% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #1834 | "stream" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "stream" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.18% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #1833 | "clones" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "clones" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.72% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1828 | "trends" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "trends" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.02% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #1827 | "bond" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "bond" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.39% (+62%). INCORRECT. |
| #1826 | "bonded" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "bonded" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.15% (+11%). CORRECT. |
| #1825 | "live" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "live" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.33% → 0.99% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #1824 | "nigr" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "nigr" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.18% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #1823 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.67% → 2.05% (+23%). CORRECT. |
| #1822 | "wtf" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "wtf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.61% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #1821 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 1.51% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #1820 | "onchain" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 63% that "onchain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.32% (+35%). CORRECT. |
| #1819 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.41% → 5.28% (+55%). CORRECT. |
| #1818 | "wtf" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "wtf" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.84% → 0.09% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #1817 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.49% → 0.69% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #1812 | "earn" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "earn" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.36% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #1811 | "finance" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "finance" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.55% (+138%). CORRECT. |
| #1810 | "baton" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "baton" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.63% (+240%). CORRECT. |
| #1809 | "bat" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "bat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.20% (-11%). INCORRECT. |
| #1808 | "massive" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "massive" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.07% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #1807 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.28% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #1806 | "baton" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "baton" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 1.26% (+171%). CORRECT. |
| #1805 | "bat" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "bat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.41% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #1804 | "gem" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "gem" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.38% (+57%). CORRECT. |
| #1803 | "baton" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "baton" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 1.11% (-52%). INCORRECT. |
| #1802 | "bat" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "bat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.85% → 1.03% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #1801 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.09% → 4.10% (+0%). PARTIAL. |
| #1796 | "welcome" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "welcome" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.31% (+18%). CORRECT. |
| #1795 | "sand" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "sand" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.01% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #1794 | "bro" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "bro" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.23% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1793 | "saddie" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "saddie" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #1792 | "fan" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "fan" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.03% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #1791 | "ixg" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "ixg" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1790 | "bro" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "bro" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.35% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #1789 | "saddie" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "saddie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1788 | "steady" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "steady" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.08% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #1787 | "pepe" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "pepe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.47% → 1.23% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #1786 | "saddie" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "saddie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.60% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1785 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 3.41% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #1780 | "work" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "work" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.23% (-27%). INCORRECT. |
| #1779 | "ixg" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "ixg" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1778 | "marcia" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "marcia" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1777 | "rocky" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "rocky" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.04% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #1776 | "nuts" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "nuts" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.21% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #1775 | "marcia" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "marcia" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1774 | "rocky" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "rocky" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.08% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #1773 | "trump" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "trump" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 0.81% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #1772 | "name" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "name" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.86% (+100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1771 | "trump" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "trump" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.47% → 0.78% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #1770 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.76% → 4.09% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #1769 | "justice" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "justice" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.23% → 0.25% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #1764 | "market" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "market" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.66% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #1763 | "black" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "black" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.41% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #1762 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.82% → 0.74% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #1761 | "justice" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "justice" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.47% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #1760 | "main" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "main" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.15% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #1759 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.27% → 0.82% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #1758 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.10% → 0.64% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #1757 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 4.74% (+42%). INCORRECT. |
| #1756 | "ecosystem" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "ecosystem" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.04% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #1755 | "usepaid" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "usepaid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.81% → 1.17% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #1754 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 1.30% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #1753 | "pepe" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "pepe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.89% → 2.47% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #1748 | "launchblitz" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "launchblitz" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.12% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #1747 | "aster" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "aster" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.05% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #1746 | "house" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "house" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.33% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #1745 | "chada" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "chada" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.08% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #1744 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 1.12% (+41%). INCORRECT. |
| #1743 | "chad" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "chad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.04% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #1742 | "chada" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "chada" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.19% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #1741 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.32% → 4.12% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #1740 | "calling" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "calling" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.13% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #1739 | "chada" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "chada" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.77% → 0.39% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #1738 | "onboarder" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "onboarder" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1737 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.00% → 0.39% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #1732 | "doomed" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-11 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "doomed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.26% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #1731 | "chad" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "chad" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.04% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #1730 | "smiling" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "smiling" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.04% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #1729 | "onboarder" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "onboarder" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |