Prediction ledger
5,928 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #724 | "around" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "around" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.64% (+34%). INCORRECT. |
| #723 | "live" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "live" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.97% → 0.95% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #722 | "fund" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 42% that "fund" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.60% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #721 | "energy" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "energy" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.96% (+23%). INCORRECT. |
| #720 | "golden" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 49% that "golden" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.74% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #719 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.53% → 1.84% (-27%). INCORRECT. |
| #718 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.33% → 2.16% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #717 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.20% → 3.24% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #716 | "friendly" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "friendly" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 1.24% (+38%). INCORRECT. |
| #715 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.05% → 2.43% (-40%). INCORRECT. |
| #714 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.82% → 1.37% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #713 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.24% → 3.86% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #708 | "top" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "top" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.34% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #707 | "poor" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "poor" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #706 | "viral" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "viral" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.56% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #705 | "sobcat" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "sobcat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.00% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #704 | "utility" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "utility" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.65% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #703 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.42% → 3.14% (+121%). CORRECT. |
| #702 | "viral" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "viral" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.68% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #701 | "sobcat" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "sobcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #700 | "ticker" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "ticker" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.06% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #699 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.65% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #698 | "sobcat" | narrative · 1H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "sobcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.13% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #697 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 24% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.27% → 7.26% (+122%). INCORRECT. |
| #692 | "grencat" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "grencat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.25% (+122%). INCORRECT. |
| #691 | "sobdog" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "sobdog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.01% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #690 | "ram" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "ram" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.08% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #689 | "dog" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 56% that "dog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.56% → 1.44% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #688 | "muskrats" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "muskrats" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.01% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #687 | "sobdog" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "sobdog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.05% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #686 | "ram" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "ram" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.22% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #685 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.39% → 1.80% (+29%). CORRECT. |
| #684 | "sobanimals" | narrative · 1H | 81% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 81% that "sobanimals" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.19% (-79%). INCORRECT. |
| #683 | "dice" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "dice" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.50% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #682 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 69% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.65% → 4.82% (+82%). CORRECT. |
| #681 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.18% → 4.05% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #676 | "paid" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 30% that "paid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.69% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #675 | "dice" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "dice" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.23% (+25%). INCORRECT. |
| #674 | "director" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "director" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #673 | "anti" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "anti" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.20% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #672 | "joey" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "joey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.01% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #671 | "dice" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "dice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.30% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #670 | "director" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "director" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #669 | "anti" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "anti" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.31% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #668 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.46% → 1.60% (+10%). PARTIAL. |
| #667 | "elon" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "elon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.75% → 0.77% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #666 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 63% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.07% → 6.98% (+127%). CORRECT. |
| #665 | "musk" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "musk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.03% → 2.11% (-70%). CORRECT. |
| #660 | "movie" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 28% that "movie" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.08% (+97%). INCORRECT. |
| #659 | "elon" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "elon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.99% (+40%). INCORRECT. |
| #658 | "optimus" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "optimus" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.07% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #657 | "digital" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "digital" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.30% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #656 | "tools" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "tools" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.05% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #655 | "elon" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "elon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.37% → 0.78% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #654 | "optimus" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "optimus" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.04% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #653 | "digital" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "digital" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.52% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #652 | "nigger" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "nigger" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #651 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.80% → 2.65% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #650 | "optimus" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "optimus" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.22% → 0.15% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #649 | "digital" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "digital" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.39% → 1.36% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #644 | "brand" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 56% that "brand" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.23% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #643 | "agents" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 60% that "agents" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.86% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #642 | "memecoin" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "memecoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 1.60% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #641 | "robomusk" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "robomusk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.01% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #640 | "insane" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "insane" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.21% (+160%). CORRECT. |
| #639 | "launchpad" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "launchpad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.62% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #638 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 3.09% (+244%). INCORRECT. |
| #637 | "robomusk" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "robomusk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #636 | "huge" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 62% that "huge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.40% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #635 | "robomusk" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "robomusk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.29% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #634 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.70% → 3.07% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #633 | "musk" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 49% that "musk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.41% → 7.03% (+10%). PARTIAL. |
| #628 | "pot" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "pot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.08% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #627 | "investment" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "investment" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.06% (-32%). INCORRECT. |
| #626 | "open" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "open" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.73% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #625 | "musk" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "musk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 1.01% (+248%). CORRECT. |
| #624 | "investment" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "investment" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.11% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #623 | "open" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "open" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.96% → 0.79% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #622 | "musk" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 67% that "musk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 2.30% (+234%). CORRECT. |
| #621 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.85% → 3.43% (+20%). CORRECT. |
| #620 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.42% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #619 | "read" | narrative · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "read" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.37% → 0.59% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #618 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.45% → 1.77% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #617 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.50% → 2.28% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #612 | "launchpad" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "launchpad" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.10% → 0.79% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #611 | "openai" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "openai" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.07% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #610 | "read" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 16% that "read" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.91% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #609 | "behind" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 16% that "behind" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.26% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #608 | "intelligence" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "intelligence" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.88% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #607 | "openai" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "openai" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.05% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #606 | "read" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "read" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 0.85% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #605 | "behind" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "behind" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.24% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #604 | "jackass" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "jackass" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #603 | "behind" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "behind" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.49% → 0.25% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #602 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.38% → 3.04% (-10%). INCORRECT. |
| #601 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 3.70% (-23%). INCORRECT. |
| #596 | "signal" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "signal" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.08% (-24%). CORRECT. |
| #595 | "trending" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "trending" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.23% (+18%). CORRECT. |
| #594 | "discovered" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "discovered" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.18% (+22%). CORRECT. |
| #593 | "100x" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "100x" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.31% (+11%). INCORRECT. |