Prediction ledger
5,400 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2064 | "human" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "human" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.44% (+267%). INCORRECT. |
| #2063 | "gen" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "gen" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.05% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #2062 | "wormhole" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "wormhole" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.73% (+126%). INCORRECT. |
| #2061 | "granny" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "granny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2060 | "zuczilla" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "zuczilla" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2059 | "wormhole" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "wormhole" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.45% → 1.51% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #2058 | "granny" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "granny" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2057 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 61% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.14% → 3.28% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2052 | "retail" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "retail" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.02% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #2051 | "supporting" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "supporting" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.02% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #2050 | "gen" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "gen" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.04% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #2049 | "chat" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "chat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.27% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #2048 | "smarter" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "smarter" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2047 | "bought" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "bought" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.21% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #2046 | "chat" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "chat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.11% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2045 | "nigr" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "nigr" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.16% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2044 | "huddle" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "huddle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2043 | "bought" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bought" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.62% → 0.20% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #2042 | "pepe" | narrative · 1H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "pepe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.68% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2041 | "chat" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "chat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.14% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2036 | "siriuscrocodile" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "siriuscrocodile" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.02% (+36%). INCORRECT. |
| #2035 | "solami" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 18% that "solami" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.13% (+71%). INCORRECT. |
| #2034 | "nigr" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "nigr" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.11% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2033 | "cat" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 4.01% → 4.13% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2032 | "theory" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "theory" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #2031 | "bond" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "bond" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.14% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2030 | "solamians" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "solamians" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.38% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2029 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 0.81% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2028 | "nigr" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "nigr" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.59% → 1.40% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2027 | "bond" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bond" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.70% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2026 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.31% → 3.14% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2025 | "solamians" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "solamians" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.86% → 0.77% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2020 | "pons" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "pons" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.16% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #2019 | "solamians" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "solamians" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.10% (-40%). INCORRECT. |
| #2018 | "burned" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "burned" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.03% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #2017 | "sola" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "sola" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.13% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2016 | "coge" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "coge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.71% (+1590%). INCORRECT. |
| #2015 | "burned" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burned" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.04% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2014 | "pairburn" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pairburn" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2013 | "sola" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "sola" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.54% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #2012 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 1.86% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #2011 | "pairburn" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pairburn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.45% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2010 | "sola" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "sola" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 0.51% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2009 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.18% → 0.58% (-86%). INCORRECT. |
| #2004 | "termco" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "termco" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2003 | "pairburn" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "pairburn" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2002 | "kyssss" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "kyssss" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2001 | "pair" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "pair" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.26% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #2000 | "calling" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "calling" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.13% (+55%). CORRECT. |
| #1999 | "kyssss" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "kyssss" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1998 | "pair" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "pair" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.25% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #1997 | "duve" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "duve" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.09% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #1996 | "property" | narrative · 1H | 80% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 80% that "property" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.06% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #1995 | "kyssss" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "kyssss" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.29% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1994 | "pair" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "pair" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.40% → 0.66% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #1993 | "duve" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "duve" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1988 | "blocks" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "blocks" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.03% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #1987 | "cto" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cto" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.18% (+50%). CORRECT. |
| #1986 | "olympics" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "olympics" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.13% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #1985 | "spoderman" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "spoderman" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.13% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1984 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 60% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.06% → 1.09% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1983 | "cto" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "cto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.43% (+47%). CORRECT. |
| #1982 | "olympics" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 65% that "olympics" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.62% (+17%). CORRECT. |
| #1981 | "spoderman" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "spoderman" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.60% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #1980 | "stocks" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "stocks" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.29% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #1979 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 34% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 3.40% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #1978 | "olympics" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "olympics" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 2.72% (-31%). INCORRECT. |
| #1977 | "spoderman" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "spoderman" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 2.33% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #1972 | "hype" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "hype" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #1971 | "survivor" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "survivor" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.02% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #1970 | "bitdog" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "bitdog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.02% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #1969 | "reggie" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "reggie" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.01% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #1968 | "goku" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "goku" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.09% (-53%). CORRECT. |
| #1967 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.74% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #1966 | "bitdog" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "bitdog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.04% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #1965 | "reggie" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "reggie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.03% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #1964 | "bitcat" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "bitcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1963 | "tobey" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "tobey" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.90% → 0.05% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1962 | "cuckman" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "cuckman" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.20% → 0.05% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #1961 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.32% → 1.44% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #1956 | "artificial" | narrative · 24H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "artificial" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.11% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #1955 | "paid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "paid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.55% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #1954 | "feet" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "feet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.02% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #1953 | "motion" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "motion" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #1952 | "across" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 26% that "across" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.30% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #1951 | "feet" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "feet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.01% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #1950 | "motion" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "motion" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.06% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #1949 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.74% → 1.23% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #1948 | "brain" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "brain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.30% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #1947 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.64% → 1.38% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #1946 | "motion" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "motion" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.69% → 0.36% (-79%). INCORRECT. |
| #1945 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.69% → 0.96% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #1940 | "frog" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "frog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.41% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #1939 | "macuck" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "macuck" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.16% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #1938 | "cuckman" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "cuckman" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.19% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #1937 | "tobey" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "tobey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.19% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #1936 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.14% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #1935 | "cuckman" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "cuckman" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.91% (+33%). INCORRECT. |
| #1934 | "tobey" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "tobey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.87% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1933 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 3.45% (-16%). INCORRECT. |