Prediction ledger
5,000 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2996 | "games" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "games" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.15% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #2995 | "doge" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.89% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2994 | "fritzfrog" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "fritzfrog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.02% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2993 | "realist" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "realist" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2992 | "pools" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pools" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2991 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 1.07% (+69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2990 | "fritzfrog" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "fritzfrog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2989 | "realist" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "realist" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2988 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.61% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2987 | "realist" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "realist" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.66% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2986 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.09% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2985 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.72% → 1.61% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2980 | "rest" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "rest" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.16% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2979 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.05% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #2978 | "pcat" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "pcat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.08% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #2977 | "angel" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "angel" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.08% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #2976 | "games" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 60% that "games" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.16% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #2975 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.09% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2974 | "pcat" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "pcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.15% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2973 | "angel" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "angel" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.09% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #2972 | "pokemon" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "pokemon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.34% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #2971 | "pcat" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 0.08% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2970 | "angel" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "angel" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2969 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.51% → 5.32% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #2964 | "driven" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "driven" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.30% (+31%). CORRECT. |
| #2963 | "followers" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "followers" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.03% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #2962 | "uinhim" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "uinhim" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.16% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #2961 | "claimed" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "claimed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.13% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2960 | "sir" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "sir" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.05% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #2959 | "uinhim" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "uinhim" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.15% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2958 | "claimed" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "claimed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.03% → 0.12% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #2957 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 5.30% → 4.13% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2956 | "higgspad" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "higgspad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.26% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #2955 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.15% → 2.11% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #2954 | "claimed" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "claimed" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.32% → 0.53% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #2953 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.18% → 1.14% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2948 | "called" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "called" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.08% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2947 | "hitler" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "hitler" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.06% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #2946 | "crypto" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 25% that "crypto" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 1.15% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #2945 | "house" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "house" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.35% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #2944 | "lofopad" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "lofopad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2943 | "house" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "house" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.39% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2942 | "agents" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "agents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.62% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2941 | "wif" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "wif" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 1.75% (+187%). CORRECT. |
| #2940 | "main" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "main" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.33% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #2939 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 0.42% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2938 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.78% → 1.42% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #2937 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.39% → 7.51% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #2932 | "security" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "security" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.10% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2931 | "claudia" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "claudia" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.22% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2930 | "wallet" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "wallet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.75% (+18%). CORRECT. |
| #2929 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "agent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.01% → 1.05% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2928 | "craftai" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "craftai" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.05% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2927 | "wallet" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "wallet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.79% (+21%). CORRECT. |
| #2926 | "energy" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "energy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.60% → 0.90% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #2925 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.09% → 1.52% (+39%). CORRECT. |
| #2924 | "zero" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "zero" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.60% (+39%). CORRECT. |
| #2923 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.32% → 1.11% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2922 | "black" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 27% that "black" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.24% → 2.39% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #2921 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.96% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #2916 | "free" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "free" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.47% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2915 | "sanctuary" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sanctuary" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2914 | "mayhem" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "mayhem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.45% (+108%). INCORRECT. |
| #2913 | "posted" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 20% that "posted" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.29% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2912 | "forget" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "forget" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.07% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #2911 | "mayhem" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "mayhem" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.11% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2910 | "posted" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "posted" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.23% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2909 | "viral" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "viral" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.74% → 1.39% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2908 | "meet" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "meet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.36% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2907 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 2.42% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #2906 | "posted" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "posted" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.78% → 0.72% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2905 | "been" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "been" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.00% → 0.27% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2900 | "worm" | narrative · 24H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "worm" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.32% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2899 | "been" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "been" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.23% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2898 | "alone" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "alone" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.07% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2897 | "viral" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "viral" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.75% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #2896 | "makin" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "makin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.33% (+95%). CORRECT. |
| #2895 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.77% → 2.22% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2894 | "been" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "been" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 0.40% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #2893 | "alone" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "alone" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.99% → 0.24% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2892 | "run" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "run" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 1.03% (+110%). INCORRECT. |
| #2891 | "alone" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "alone" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.04% → 1.03% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2890 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.25% → 1.46% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2889 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.05% → 5.76% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2884 | "death" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "death" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.03% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #2883 | "rea" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "rea" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.09% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #2882 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.22% (+45%). CORRECT. |
| #2881 | "sleep" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "sleep" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.06% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2880 | "death" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "death" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.03% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2879 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.36% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2878 | "test" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "test" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.53% → 0.90% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #2877 | "sleep" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sleep" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.18% → 0.04% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2876 | "desktop" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "desktop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.08% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2875 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.96% → 1.06% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2874 | "test" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "test" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.48% → 1.22% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2873 | "sleep" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "sleep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.24% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2868 | "studio" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "studio" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.05% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2867 | "test" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "test" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 1.11% (+59%). CORRECT. |
| #2866 | "added" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "added" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.11% (-15%). INCORRECT. |
| #2865 | "runepunk" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "runepunk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.00% (-96%). INCORRECT. |