Prediction ledger
6,040 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #436 | "chaos" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "chaos" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.32% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #435 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.30% → 3.76% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #434 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.99% → 8.16% (+63%). CORRECT. |
| #433 | "mouse" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "mouse" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.49% → 3.08% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #428 | "force" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "force" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #427 | "fuck" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "fuck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.76% (+68%). INCORRECT. |
| #426 | "starblo" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "starblo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.07% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #425 | "mouse" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "mouse" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 1.39% (+287%). CORRECT. |
| #424 | "candles" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "candles" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.19% (-63%). INCORRECT. |
| #423 | "save" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "save" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.56% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #422 | "please" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "please" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.52% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #421 | "lmao" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "lmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.74% → 0.27% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #416 | "rofl" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "rofl" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.01% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #415 | "burned" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "burned" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.19% (-64%). INCORRECT. |
| #414 | "lmao" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "lmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.21% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #413 | "paired" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "paired" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.03% → 0.82% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #412 | "tpad" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "tpad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.53% → 0.17% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #411 | "paired" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "paired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.54% → 1.20% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #410 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.98% → 10.24% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #409 | "roflmao" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "roflmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.03% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #404 | "blue" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "blue" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.11% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #403 | "paws" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "paws" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.04% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #402 | "roflmao" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 72% that "roflmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.65% (+92%). CORRECT. |
| #401 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.08% → 3.84% (+255%). INCORRECT. |
| #400 | "meet" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "meet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.40% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #399 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 1.58% (-31%). INCORRECT. |
| #398 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.49% → 3.78% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #397 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 42% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.49% → 4.49% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #392 | "200k" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "200k" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #391 | "please" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "please" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 2.07% (+193%). INCORRECT. |
| #390 | "save" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "save" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 2.07% (+190%). INCORRECT. |
| #389 | "jesus" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "jesus" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.41% → 2.09% (+48%). INCORRECT. |
| #388 | "matpatgt" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "matpatgt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #387 | "please" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 44% that "please" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.68% → 3.64% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #386 | "save" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 44% that "save" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.72% → 3.69% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #385 | "jesus" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "jesus" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.33% → 3.64% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #380 | "api" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "api" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.15% (-39%). INCORRECT. |
| #379 | "farmer" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "farmer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.04% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #378 | "aura" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "aura" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.21% (-63%). INCORRECT. |
| #377 | "lolcat" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "lolcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.02% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #376 | "moments" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "moments" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #375 | "aura" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "aura" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.73% → 0.29% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #374 | "lolcat" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "lolcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.38% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #373 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.21% → 5.02% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #368 | "half" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "half" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.17% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #367 | "tiktok" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 14% that "tiktok" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.54% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #366 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.28% → 3.93% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #365 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.87% → 6.62% (+36%). CORRECT. |
| #364 | "vamped" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "vamped" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #363 | "tiktok" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tiktok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.54% → 0.15% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #362 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.10% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #361 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 6.38% (+46%). CORRECT. |
| #356 | "desk" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "desk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.14% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #355 | "maru" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "maru" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #354 | "viral" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "viral" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.79% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #353 | "call" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "call" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.32% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #352 | "game" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "game" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.81% (+174%). CORRECT. |
| #351 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.59% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #350 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 1.43% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #349 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.92% → 9.21% (+33%). CORRECT. |
| #344 | "qcat" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "qcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.16% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #343 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.23% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #342 | "butt" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "butt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.20% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #341 | "emoji" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "emoji" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.11% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #340 | "deep" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "deep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.12% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #339 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.09% → 1.94% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #338 | "butt" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "butt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.73% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #337 | "emoji" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "emoji" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.28% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #332 | "head" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 53% that "head" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.18% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #331 | "trench" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "trench" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.37% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #330 | "burn" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "burn" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.25% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #329 | "slop" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "slop" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.69% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #328 | "straight" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 70% that "straight" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.26% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #327 | "burn" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.33% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #326 | "slop" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "slop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.38% → 1.93% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #325 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.73% → 4.65% (+25%). CORRECT. |
| #320 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.33% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #319 | "computer" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "computer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.36% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #318 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.25% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #317 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.00% → 0.20% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #316 | "crypt" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "crypt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.07% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #315 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 0.26% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #314 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.07% → 3.55% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #313 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.17% → 5.09% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #308 | "buys" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "buys" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.30% (+40%). CORRECT. |
| #307 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.41% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #306 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.69% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #305 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 1.53% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #304 | "rip" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "rip" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.04% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #303 | "candle" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 1.45% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #302 | "subs" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "subs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #301 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.46% → 1.79% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #296 | "version" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "version" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.15% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #295 | "subs" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "subs" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.03% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #294 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 2.85% (+59%). INCORRECT. |
| #293 | "fox" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "fox" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.48% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #292 | "signal" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "signal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.11% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #291 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 1.71% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #290 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.88% → 5.07% (+76%). INCORRECT. |
| #289 | "fox" | narrative · 1H | 73% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 73% that "fox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.37% → 0.76% (-77%). INCORRECT. |